MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d414e71a6252d4a25b5907750a8b3ce227fd7e22db4f2c991c9b74d734deee0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Padres, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,587,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,638,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,587,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc537…690dbacked Cubs | 52c | 602,306$311,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290,428.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Padres | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,000 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 49c | 149,327$73,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,080.23 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 27c | 113,492$30,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,799.34 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Padres | 48c | 95,223$45,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,558.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Padres | 7c | 94,526$6,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,308.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Padres | 14c | 57,469$7,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,835.05 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 48c | 55,572$26,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,510.86 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Cubs | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,499.9 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Padres | 48c | 46,312$22,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,229.64 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Padres | 49c | 43,825$21,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,341.4 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 49c | 38,121$18,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,679.29 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 75c | 37,162$27,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,454.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefe…1e4abacked Cubs | 52c | 28,754$15,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,720.77 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Padres | 3c | 26,341$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.89 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Padres | 49c | 16,182$7,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,916.9 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Padres | 48c | 16,155$7,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,754.59 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b7…e360backed Padres | 1c | 11,805$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cubs | 74c | 11,533$8,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.98 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Padres | 49c | 11,224$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Padres | 44c | 8,582$3,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,818.66 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…271cbacked Padres | 12c | 8,438$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cubs | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.93 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…da5ebacked Cubs | 57c | 7,932$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,432.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Cubs | 58c | 7,397$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,107.76 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 79c | 7,350$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.28 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Padres | 49c | 7,143$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs | 61c | 6,367$3,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,483.46 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 77c | 6,264$4,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…af3ebacked Cubs | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Padres | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b1…5a3fbacked Cubs | 52c | 4,805$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Cubs | 72c | 4,626$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.37 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Cubs | 75c | 4,527$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Padres | 47c | 4,372$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.05 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Cubs | 52c | 4,112$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.81 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe20…c1d8backed Padres | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x826d…9947backed Cubs | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +67%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Padres | 48c | 3,992$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.54 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Padres | 19c | 3,879$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.47 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f7…28bfbacked Cubs | 80c | 3,700$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Padres | 42c | 3,632$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.71 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…4c44backed Cubs | 61c | 3,603$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.96 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…bfddbacked Padres | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Padres | 1c | 3,465$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.46 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 48c | 3,300$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…ba05backed Padres | 48c | 3,158$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 44c | 3,000$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.52 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 1c | 2,962$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7338backed Cubs | 52c | 2,900$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 48c | 2,666$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Cubs | 56c | 2,138$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.99 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1895…efd2backed Padres | 33c | 2,107$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Padres | 48c | 2,085$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.8 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…bdacbacked Padres | 50c | 2,005$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Padres | 1c | 1,960$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…b2c6backed Cubs | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 16c | 1,883$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cubs | 79c | 1,824$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.83 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Padres | 28c | 1,821$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.88 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x663b…6a3ebacked Cubs | 76c | 1,763$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cubs | 60c | 1,634$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.73 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 19c | 1,552$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Cubs | 52c | 1,535$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.8 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 27c | 1,532$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…582fbacked Padres | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…f5b9backed Cubs | 61c | 1,484$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Padres | 48c | 1,360$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 45c | 1,214$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Padres | 12c | 1,212$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0431…6088backed Padres | 18c | 1,133$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Padres | 16c | 1,128$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Cubs | 51c | 1,095$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…8547backed Cubs | 52c | 1,024$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Padres | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Padres | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Padres | 25c | 1,018$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Cubs | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Padres | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Padres | 6c | 999.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…f173backed Cubs | 52c | 940$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs | 79c | 882.79$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.65 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 9c | 853.71$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71f…faa0backed Padres | 13c | 843.64$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 48c | 831.48$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Padres | 28c | 815.75$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 8c | 756.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Padres | 44c | 720.35$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Padres | 48c | 679.66$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.64 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Padres | 41c | 677.68$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Cubs | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 19c | 666.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Cubs | 75c | 632.91$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Padres | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Padres | 49c | 593.88$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Cubs | 52c | 579.35$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x383e…ab30backed Padres | 17c | 577.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Cubs | 52c | 576.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.91 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Cubsthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.