TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Flames

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Flames
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$905,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$925,246

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $905,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Jets57c429,524$244,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184,695.622330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Flames43c137,432$58,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,970.179242.4%39 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Flames43c122,111$52,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,507.731338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Flames42c107,022$45,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,337.635253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Jets58c70,000$40,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,599.8342552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Flames43c67,945$29,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,276.6114538.6%56 W · 89 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Jets58c45,554$26,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,132.567149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Flames43c39,400$16,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,94240550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flames54c29,490$15,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,931.251,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Flames42c28,468$12,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,051.155644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Jets51c26,677$13,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,948.4158841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Jets58c24,881$14,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,450.0231546.3%146 W · 169 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Jets59c23,650$13,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,667.883354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Jets58c22,293$12,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,373.123246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x857c…cb02backed Flames42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,399.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Flames42c16,010$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.5215646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Flames43c15,673$6,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,705.5241246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Flames41c14,866$6,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,095.171,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Flames43c14,669$6,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,316.1992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Flames43c12,855$5,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,527.5513251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Flames43c12,021$5,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.1437847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Jets51c11,656$5,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,709.493818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-62.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Flames43c10,000$4,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3004450%22 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d72…2221backed Jets57c9,300$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Flames42c8,995$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.8870547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets57c8,891$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,856.411,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Flames42c7,861$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.7552050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jets57c7,000$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,01093953.6%503 W · 436 L+29.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Jets57c6,192$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,662.496737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Jets54c6,000$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,750.3826344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Flames49c3,927$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.1927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flames42c3,836$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.832,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jets57c3,500$1,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.9919451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd339…d3a1backed Flames42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.953946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Jets53c3,363$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.3558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flames46c3,315$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.3189636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Jets55c3,304$1,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,478.264067.5%27 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Flames47c3,294$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.167839.7%31 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flames42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jets57c3,000$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,29097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145c…43bcbacked Flames44c2,900$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.783148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Flames46c2,869$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.61,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Flames51c2,799$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.957149.3%35 W · 36 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Jets54c2,600$1,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1971877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Flames42c2,598$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.0814253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames41c2,530$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Flames42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05030447.4%144 W · 160 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Flames41c2,382$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$976.769550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…48a9backed Jets40c2,198$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.426764.2%43 W · 24 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Jets58c2,193$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.3330848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Flames34c2,068$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.978746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Jets55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Jets59c2,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83089249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a01…a42cbacked Flames48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flames43c1,977$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Flames44c1,775$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Flames43c1,753$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.72839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets58c1,741$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.061,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jets58c1,725$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.4923642.8%101 W · 135 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c20…f4fbbacked Jets58c1,600$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.991181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+51.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Jets51c1,593$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.1330944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a18…9d39backed Jets59c1,581$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+71.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3a0…e864backed Flames42c1,581$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.84425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eac…4c8cbacked Jets57c1,572$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames54c1,500$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8151,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Flames43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64542847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Jets59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6153154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Flames42c1,500$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f2…f133backed Flames42c1,469$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.830%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x73a0…dd5bbacked Jets59c1,468$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.07650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c6…f540backed Jets59c1,361$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d0…ab1abacked Jets59c1,315$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Flames47c1,304$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.791,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Jets57c1,250$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5401560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jets57c1,195$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.852416.7%4 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-61.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Flames44c1,179$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.574944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Jets48c1,044$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+93.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Flames42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Flames43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43016743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Jets58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked Jets59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Flames42c999.99$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Jets57c999.93$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9766951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Jets31c967.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.741471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Jets58c963.67$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.6736948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Jets57c921.95$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.4475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Flames44c910$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.461959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Jets58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0712742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc864…97dfbacked Flames42c850$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3573053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bc…98c9backed Jets62c826.55$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.1312070.8%85 W · 35 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Flames50c817.69$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7833848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…c024backed Flames42c800.74$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.31825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8df…61aabacked Flames42c799.99$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Jets59c774$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.341,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Flames44c771.57$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6482043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets66c761.38$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.123,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Flames43c749.48$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7587447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Jets41c669.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.7670249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e52…9434backed Flames10c660$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669347.3%44 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Jets58c642.1$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.682564%16 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.