Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x336e6294e21dec9c2ef0a05f1ac8c9a373a7ab2ae8f08195edc779d8a9d7f4ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Fearnley, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Fearnley | 38c | 4,300$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.76 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fearnley | 10c | 4,152$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Fearnley | 15c | 2,211$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.15 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Fearnley | 23c | 2,187$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fearnley | 27c | 1,964$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.79 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Fearnley | 41c | 1,953$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.43 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Fearnley | 27c | 1,876$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Fearnley | 47c | 1,684$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.03 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fearnley | 8c | 1,637$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Fearnley | 14c | 1,452$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 58c | 1,212$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.05 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Rublev | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…1ec8backed Rublev | 57c | 1,163$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4eb…18c4backed Fearnley | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Fearnley | 15c | 1,107$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rublev | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…4c60backed Rublev | 76c | 987.89$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.97 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fearnley | 15c | 945.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.27 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Fearnley | 22c | 925.57$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.89 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Rublev | 59c | 862.71$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.71 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Fearnley | 40c | 813.39$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Rublev | 57c | 782.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Fearnley | 43c | 697.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.13 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Fearnley | 43c | 684.77$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.45 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Rublev | 62c | 666.58$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Fearnley | 36c | 662.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Fearnley | 43c | 582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Rublev | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Fearnley | 5c | 484.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Rublev | 58c | 484.33$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Fearnley | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Fearnley | 42c | 450.95$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Fearnley | 44c | 425$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Fearnley | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Rublev | 60c | 416.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.98 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Rublev | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Rublev | 57c | 340$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Fearnley | 14c | 330.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Rublev | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48d…5182backed Rublev | 68c | 313.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 245 | 58.8%144 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Fearnley | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa088…9972backed Fearnley | 14c | 251.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Fearnley | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Fearnley | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Rublev | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Rublev | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rublev | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Rublev | 59c | 166.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Fearnley | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8895…aa9cbacked Rublev | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked Rublev | 78c | 146.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Rublev | 79c | 140.51$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Rublev | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Rublev | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Fearnley | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Rublev | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Fearnley | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…1952backed Rublev | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…8634backed Fearnley | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…432ebacked Rublev | 61c | 92.81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f6…b90cbacked Rublev | 59c | 88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…1031backed Rublev | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…2468backed Rublev | 80c | 82.03$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Fearnley | 36c | 78.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…25c2backed Fearnley | 31c | 65.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Rublev | 76c | 59.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked Fearnley | 18c | 59.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…52f7backed Rublev | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Rublev | 59c | 55.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked Rublev | 60c | 55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Rublev | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Fearnley | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Rublev | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Rublev | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Rublev | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Rublev | 61c | 47.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Fearnley | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Rublev | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…2bd3backed Rublev | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8747…8b5dbacked Rublev | 58c | 30.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…6240backed Rublev | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…b248backed Fearnley | 45c | 24.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81c7…8b51backed Rublev | 59c | 24.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Fearnley | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed Rublev | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…9ed8backed Rublev | 57c | 18.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.