NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a0fbcc3f14ea7855d4206cd660283dc1fc8f8e223da8679f75e04d6aebd0f3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Wild, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Wild | 10c | 28,276$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.78 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 63c | 25,706$16,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…9f41backed Wild | 37c | 22,150$8,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,195.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wild | 24c | 17,332$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.09 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Wild | 18c | 10,492$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.9 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Wild | 29c | 8,346$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.44 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Wild | 36c | 6,222$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wild | 1c | 5,717$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Stars | 64c | 5,005$3,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.79 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wild | 8c | 4,438$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed Stars | 64c | 3,791$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Stars | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.89 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Wild | 7c | 2,944$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.82 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Wild | 36c | 2,931$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Wild | 4c | 2,919$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.79 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cb…cc16backed Wild | 11c | 2,864$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.06 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wild | 7c | 2,709$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.62 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Wild | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Stars | 63c | 2,635$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.79 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Stars | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 6c | 2,453$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Wild | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Wild | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.99 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Wild | 5c | 1,938$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wild | 35c | 1,720$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.1 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars | 63c | 1,699$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.73 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Wild | 12c | 1,691$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.42 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…13d3backed Wild | 37c | 1,650$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…e6d2backed Stars | 64c | 1,650$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1190…2a70backed Wild | 36c | 1,625$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Wild | 9c | 1,573$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…8507backed Wild | 37c | 1,567$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…7c96backed Stars | 64c | 1,567$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Stars | 75c | 1,534$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.57 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7ab3backed Stars | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.99 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Wild | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Stars | 64c | 1,469$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wild | 14c | 1,299$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Wild | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wild | 2c | 1,173$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 63c | 1,144$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.23 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Wild | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Stars | 64c | 1,066$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.58 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Wild | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Wild | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Wild | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…1d81backed Stars | 64c | 955$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Wild | 5c | 812.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Stars | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wild | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Wild | 35c | 749.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Wild | 8c | 712.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Wild | 36c | 641.61$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.98 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Stars | 63c | 625.96$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.61 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Wild | 3c | 554$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 65c | 534$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.9 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Stars | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Stars | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Wild | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…fa05backed Wild | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wild | 36c | 486.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.28 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e3…9cfebacked Wild | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0de5backed Stars | 64c | 450$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…ebebbacked Wild | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6877…dbe0backed Wild | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Wild | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ce…dc3cbacked Stars | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…08d9backed Wild | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…a5d6backed Stars | 63c | 360.96$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Wild | 12c | 275$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Stars | 65c | 249.23$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Wild | 22c | 245.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 63c | 231.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.84 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…d0afbacked Wild | 13c | 226.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Stars | 64c | 226.56$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.56 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Stars | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Stars | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…c623backed Wild | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Wild | 26c | 190$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…b35abacked Wild | 8c | 181.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars | 64c | 175$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…95debacked Wild | 37c | 173.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…6371backed Stars | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Stars | 64c | 155.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed Stars | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Wild | 37c | 144.56$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Wild | 36c | 137.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…7041backed Wild | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Wild | 9c | 131$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…3e8fbacked Stars | 65c | 130.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Stars | 64c | 124.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x909d…82c6backed Stars | 64c | 124.73$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15a…5654backed Wild | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x662b…5addbacked Stars | 64c | 122$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1656…dee1backed Wild | 37c | 122$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Starsthis page
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Over won
- Wild vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.