NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38573c3d92bb832d31b70771006ec88075683bb231424eab994c2318be5c4044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Timberwolves, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,083,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,214,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,083,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 908 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Timberwolves | 1c | 239,013$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.16 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Timberwolves | 39c | 201,091$78,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,046.9 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Timberwolves | 23c | 50,312$11,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,604.92 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9849…36f0backed Timberwolves | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 61c | 42,981$26,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,602.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Spurs | 65c | 36,021$23,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,767.71 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 35,397$12,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,877.1 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Spurs | 63c | 35,376$22,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,069.49 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 62c | 34,863$21,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,185.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 73c | 31,626$23,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.61 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…780abacked Timberwolves | 0c | 30,595$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Timberwolves | 33c | 30,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Timberwolves | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,700 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Timberwolves | 22c | 28,030$6,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,304.37 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Spurs | 60c | 25,747$15,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,298.8 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 64c | 23,999$15,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,529.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Spurs | 75c | 23,831$17,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,930.17 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs | 68c | 23,589$16,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,486.2 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 66c | 15,504$10,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300.88 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Timberwolves | 39c | 15,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.97 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spurs | 61c | 14,975$9,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,840.39 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161e…6ef0backed Spurs | 78c | 13,500$10,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.03 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Timberwolves | 37c | 13,472$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.57 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Timberwolves | 0c | 13,395$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 9c | 13,372$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.69 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Timberwolves | 34c | 13,109$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.25 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed Spurs | 61c | 12,852$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,012.46 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Spurs | 61c | 12,842$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.11 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Spurs | 61c | 12,773$7,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,981.29 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 62c | 12,500$7,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,777.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves | 37c | 11,692$4,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,326.16 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Spurs | 62c | 11,651$7,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,398.22 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Timberwolves | 34c | 11,059$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.45 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 11,044$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…c001backed Timberwolves | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dd…c89cbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 10,911$4,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,394 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Timberwolves | 32c | 10,851$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…6dddbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 10,303$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10c6…4e86backed Timberwolves | 0c | 10,160$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Spurs | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Spurs | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Spurs | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 9,765$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 458 | 38%174 W · 284 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 73c | 9,758$7,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Timberwolves | 34c | 9,706$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Timberwolves | 1c | 9,582$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Spurs | 62c | 9,234$5,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.01 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Spurs | 61c | 9,000$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Spurs | 67c | 8,956$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.49 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Spurs | 68c | 8,851$6,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.32 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 55c | 8,759$4,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,935.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Timberwolves | 6c | 8,091$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.39 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Spurs | 67c | 8,000$5,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.98 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Timberwolves | 1c | 7,850$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 37c | 7,588$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.72 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Spurs | 61c | 7,535$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,938.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 7,504$2,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,476.25 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…a48ebacked Spurs | 67c | 7,300$4,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves | 37c | 7,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Spurs | 60c | 6,483$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,582.63 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…64c5backed Spurs | 62c | 6,426$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.21 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Spurs | 66c | 6,103$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.11 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Spurs | 59c | 6,050$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.5 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Timberwolves | 9c | 6,015$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.34 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Timberwolves | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Spurs | 64c | 5,964$3,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.03 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,855$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs | 62c | 5,579$3,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.38 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Spurs | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.59 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…f400backed Timberwolves | 1c | 5,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +751.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 0c | 5,473$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Spurs | 63c | 5,220$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.36 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Spurs | 64c | 5,083$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.51 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Timberwolves | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.97 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Spurs | 60c | 4,900$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Timberwolves | 6c | 4,717$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed Spurs | 63c | 4,681$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.03 | 277 | 58.8%163 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Spurs | 64c | 4,627$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.29 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Spurs | 63c | 4,610$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.16 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 68c | 4,596$3,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.61 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Spurs | 61c | 4,594$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.52 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Spurs | 62c | 4,562$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.12 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Spurs | 63c | 4,492$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.06 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Spurs | 64c | 4,433$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,618.03 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Spurs | 68c | 4,184$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.92 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Timberwolves | 36c | 4,100$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7777…1d3dbacked Timberwolves | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Spurs | 60c | 3,980$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.03 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spurs | 63c | 3,919$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.78 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Spurs | 66c | 3,895$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.47 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Timberwolves | 38c | 3,749$1,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 71c | 3,524$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.97 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Timberwolves | 39c | 3,500$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.96 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Timberwolves | 27c | 3,478$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.55 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Spurs | 75c | 3,467$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.77 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291e…4b6abacked Timberwolves | 9c | 3,374$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.21 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Spurs | 59c | 3,340$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.4 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Spurs | 53c | 3,306$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.25 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Spurs | 64c | 3,300$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 689 | 44%303 W · 386 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spursthis page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.