NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f2b9bc3061e440c854e13d677118edf5d5cbb7321d9d7bd0ae5e8d493030c80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 52c | 21,688$11,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,331.18 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 13,316$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 8,346$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…6a20backed Under | 50c | 5,182$2,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,591 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…17cbbacked Under | 50c | 4,983$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c93backed Over | 49c | 4,801$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.51 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…3b0bbacked Over | 49c | 4,312$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 3,730$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.38 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 48c | 3,113$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…2471backed Under | 51c | 2,937$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…a63bbacked Under | 51c | 2,011$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…49f4backed Over | 50c | 1,907$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…164cbacked Over | 50c | 1,788$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…256ebacked Over | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 52c | 1,717$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…6cfcbacked Over | 50c | 1,695$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…fb2fbacked Over | 50c | 1,539$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…c46bbacked Under | 51c | 1,538$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…0aa0backed Over | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…75e6backed Under | 51c | 1,252$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 1,228$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 48c | 1,170$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 1,045$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.38 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…0c2dbacked Under | 51c | 942$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…c133backed Under | 51c | 433$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 59c | 344.82$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 43c | 289.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.72 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 64c | 155$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Over | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 63c | 98.89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 96.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3c…0696backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 34c | 65.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8e…34d8backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 61c | 49.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 54c | 46.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 39.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 39.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 37.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 46c | 29.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Over | 53c | 27.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…6a59backed Over | 62c | 24.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18e…ce27backed Over | 67c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d6…a56abacked Over | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.