NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c9ef9709ed41eaf4d9c1aa5b395b2d2fcc3abdb1a75cd38321e5894d564cce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $213,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 40c | 125,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 60c | 123,305$73,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,321.91 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 55c | 12,368$6,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.42 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 55c | 6,815$3,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,066.88 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…fb2fbacked Over | 48c | 5,621$2,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,922.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…e8b7backed Over | 48c | 5,384$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…a2e9backed Over | 47c | 5,299$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…fe00backed Over | 47c | 5,183$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 5,145$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.72 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…a63bbacked Over | 47c | 5,067$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…0c2dbacked Over | 47c | 5,012$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…8dfdbacked Over | 47c | 4,970$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 49c | 4,467$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,135$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,933.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 3,998$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.17 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…49f4backed Under | 52c | 3,646$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 45c | 3,604$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Over | 51c | 2,904$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.07 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 2,716$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,348$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c93backed Under | 53c | 1,999$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…256ebacked Under | 52c | 1,975$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…bec9backed Under | 52c | 1,965$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…0cd1backed Under | 53c | 1,927$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 50c | 1,909$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.45 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…7418backed Under | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…66e1backed Under | 53c | 1,889$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…2471backed Under | 53c | 1,851$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…9fe7backed Under | 52c | 1,840$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…ab67backed Under | 53c | 1,750$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…279dbacked Under | 53c | 1,749$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…b3e5backed Under | 53c | 1,654$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…3b0bbacked Under | 53c | 1,627$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…74a4backed Under | 53c | 1,617$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…317ebacked Under | 52c | 1,579$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…c46bbacked Under | 53c | 1,558$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…c133backed Under | 53c | 1,534$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…75e6backed Under | 53c | 1,510$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3026…c38fbacked Under | 53c | 1,506$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…0644backed Under | 53c | 1,464$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 45c | 1,445$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 53c | 1,416$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.72 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 1,186$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,089$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.58 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 1,059$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.05 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 52c | 871.24$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.69 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 48c | 837.5$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 804.84$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.87 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 60c | 714$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.6 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 46c | 545.95$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.65 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 62c | 487.58$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.64 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 379.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 202.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 57c | 151.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.78 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 55c | 137.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 50c | 113.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 58c | 109.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 101.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Under | 46c | 99.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 52c | 96.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 82.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f9…3f63backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Under | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -12.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…53d6backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 44c | 55.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 37c | 54.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0f…956fbacked Over | 55c | 54.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…957abacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…07d1backed Over | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 63c | 47.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 42.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 59c | 41.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 50c | 40.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 43c | 40.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 46c | 37.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 55c | 34.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Under | 42c | 29.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 25.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.