NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbe2270f91728b2b13b54dd0c49ccf02a408e0addf4db16407c4b538905709a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,130,091
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,138,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,130,091 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Spurs | 53c | 947,211$501,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501,750.59 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265,000 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 321,765$151,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170,535.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spurs | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,500 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41,831$19,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,893.35 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 33,897$15,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,951.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Timberwolves | 51c | 28,000$14,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,720 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 52c | 20,852$10,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,767.64 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 20,668$9,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,954.04 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Spurs | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.94 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 15,234$7,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,988.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Timberwolves | 48c | 14,541$6,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,561.13 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 10,586$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,568.91 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,333.33 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Timberwolves | 47c | 5,700$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Spurs | 52c | 4,593$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.28 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Spurs | 49c | 3,479$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.89 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 2,931$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.32 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 2,922$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470.41 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Spurs | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 2,015$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.97 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,569$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.55 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Spurs | 48c | 1,485$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.01 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Spurs | 50c | 1,450$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.5 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 39c | 1,236$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,018$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.54 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Spurs | 52c | 999.97$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 937.98$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.23 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spurs | 53c | 884.17$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.61 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 49c | 699.31$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Spurs | 53c | 659.57$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.57 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Timberwolves | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Timberwolves | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 496.1$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.61 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Timberwolves | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -11.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 393.83$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 166 | 58.4%97 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Spurs | 48c | 347.47$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 307.46$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Timberwolves | 47c | 302.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.4 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Timberwolves | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Timberwolves | 55c | 293.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Spurs | 52c | 280$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.6 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Timberwolves | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed Timberwolves | 48c | 212.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40b…175fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…277ebacked Timberwolves | 48c | 204.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.17 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…380cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 147.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Timberwolves | 49c | 139.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 131.06$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Timberwolves | 48c | 112.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.85 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Spurs | 46c | 102$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Timberwolves | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1e…5a2abacked Spurs | 53c | 98.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Timberwolves | 49c | 94.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Spurs | 54c | 92.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9a…989abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…de01backed Timberwolves | 64c | 89.22$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 267 | 57.3%153 W · 114 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed Spurs | 53c | 86.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…1d14backed Timberwolves | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Spurs | 52c | 77.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 41c | 77.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…d8a2backed Spurs | 65c | 76.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…6eb8backed Spurs | 66c | 75.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 68.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 67.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 63.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Timberwolves | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…a77bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 53.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Timberwolves | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 51.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Spurs | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…9975backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82b…e65abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…7be4backed Spurs | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 59%102 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Timberwolves | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…05f0backed Timberwolves | 48c | 38.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Spurs | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Timberwolves | 48c | 35.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…a1cebacked Spurs | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Spurs | 52c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.