NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed09f08c88886b8fb7038de07aeb494003e73f1f18af358e87653e5955d36136
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs | 43c | 10,253$4,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,434.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…15dabacked Spurs | 48c | 5,511$2,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…c133backed Spurs | 49c | 5,475$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85f6…b3e5backed Spurs | 49c | 5,324$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…9fe7backed Spurs | 49c | 5,215$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…75e6backed Spurs | 49c | 5,195$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…925fbacked Spurs | 48c | 5,150$2,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 4,773$2,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,037.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 3,514$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.99 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…9e8bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 3,021$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Timberwolves | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…4f36backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,732$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…9a3ebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,635$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…7bf3backed Spurs | 49c | 2,586$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44f…18dfbacked Spurs | 49c | 2,543$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Spurs | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…c824backed Spurs | 49c | 2,344$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cf…4939backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,201$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…7525backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,154$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Spurs | 49c | 2,029$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3658…2471backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838c…06babacked Timberwolves | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…317ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,987$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…279dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,924$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…0c93backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,918$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.82 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Spurs | 48c | 1,900$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.99 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…16cdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,847$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…b416backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,836$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…7418backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,832$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0686…0c2dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,793$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…b955backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,783$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0e…c46bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aca…e8b7backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,725$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…3b0bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,682$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…3e2bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,675$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…a2e9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,568$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…b7aabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,520$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb10f…a63bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 1,512$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…bec9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 1,503$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Timberwolves | 54c | 1,402$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.87 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 46c | 1,136$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.51 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 60c | 1,055$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.62 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Spurs | 47c | 987$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 900$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Timberwolves | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 52c | 745.55$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.68 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 726.38$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.59 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Timberwolves | 53c | 720$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.3 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Spurs | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 51c | 585.65$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Timberwolves | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Timberwolves | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs | 47c | 372$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.84 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Timberwolves | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spurs | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Spurs | 48c | 260.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 242.67$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.48 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Spurs | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Spurs | 43c | 238$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 56c | 237$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Spurs | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Timberwolves | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +12.3wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Spurs | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Spurs | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Spurs | 44c | 199.88$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb8…7529backed Spurs | 42c | 180.24$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 58c | 170.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 48c | 149$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 130.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 48c | 106.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…d82ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spurs | 44c | 91.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 88.76$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Spurs | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 64.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Spurs | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Spurs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9331…0951backed Spurs | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Spurs | 43c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 45c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Timberwolves | 58c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Spurs | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 38.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcb…0047backed Timberwolves | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…ada4backed Timberwolves | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Timberwolves | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Spurs | 47c | 26.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -32.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 58c | 23.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a3…3ca1backed Timberwolves | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Timberwolves | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Timberwolves | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcf…ec0ebacked Spurs | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.