NBA · resolved market
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b0c50b2a27a7ce778644e7dff8dede83f057c8bf49f5f494fef417cee28955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs | 43c | 13,484$5,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,792.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 12,317$7,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,296.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 7,777$4,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.97 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…164cbacked Spurs | 44c | 5,452$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2724…66e1backed Spurs | 44c | 5,445$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…ab67backed Spurs | 44c | 5,401$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca3b…b7aabacked Spurs | 44c | 5,301$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs | 43c | 4,901$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.29 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Spurs | 42c | 4,271$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 2,186$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.04 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…0644backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,990$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3026…c38fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,952$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…16cdbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,948$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce95…0aa0backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,942$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ba…17cbbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,876$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399e…fe00backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,865$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…74a4backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,812$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…925fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,761$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48ca…8dfdbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,643$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30d…6cfcbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,634$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945f…b955backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,592$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…0cd1backed Timberwolves | 56c | 1,584$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 40c | 1,331$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3766…a0e4backed Timberwolves | 62c | 806.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.85 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs | 39c | 775.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Spurs | 40c | 303.72$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.41 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Spurs | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Spurs | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Timberwolves | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 292.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Timberwolves | 36c | 257.35$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Spurs | 40c | 238$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 215.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Spurs | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Spurs | 52c | 173.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Timberwolves | 57c | 140.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Spurs | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Spurs | 43c | 101.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…6a00backed Timberwolves | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs | 46c | 87.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Timberwolves | 58c | 86.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 76.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Spurs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Spurs | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Spurs | 68c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Spurs | 38c | 37.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Spurs | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Spurs | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 30.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…80cbbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…e7acbacked Spurs | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 26.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Spurs | 46c | 24.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Timberwolves | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. SpursSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.