MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9071a1a676868e71083aae58cb9a89a2f3435ed07a266874d7235499b66cb62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Blue Jays, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 24,756$13,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,330.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rays | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.96 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 54c | 13,221$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.71 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 52c | 6,969$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,363.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rays | 46c | 6,852$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,687.46 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 46c | 5,859$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,163.86 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blue Jays | 46c | 5,379$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 5,091$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 57c | 4,735$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 56c | 4,643$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,065.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Rays | 48c | 4,545$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379.08 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rays | 45c | 3,740$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.8 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Blue Jays | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rays | 56c | 3,587$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.32 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 3,333$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.81 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Blue Jays | 54c | 3,252$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.04 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 51c | 3,037$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540.69 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rays | 45c | 2,523$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.26 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 45c | 2,521$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.81 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 46c | 2,409$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Rays | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 45c | 1,780$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,700$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 1,643$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 45c | 1,579$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.65 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rays | 45c | 1,492$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.39 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…4bacbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,423$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 45c | 1,416$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.81 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 55c | 1,322$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.09 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rays | 53c | 1,275$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.67 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe655…0bb4backed Blue Jays | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 56c | 1,200$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a2…3389backed Rays | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec9…1018backed Blue Jays | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.44 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 44c | 1,001$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.56 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…436bbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 947.49$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…ba30backed Rays | 46c | 947$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Rays | 46c | 934$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.36 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 855.42$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.48 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 44c | 791.92$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.47 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Blue Jays | 36c | 748$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.54 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Blue Jays | 56c | 744.86$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.12 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 42c | 688$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 44c | 685.98$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.15 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 669.42$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.1 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Blue Jays | 41c | 665.49$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Rays | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…b150backed Blue Jays | 55c | 640.73$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Blue Jays | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x811e…8733backed Rays | 51c | 596.93$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa251…23ddbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 596.36$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 579.69$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.03 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rays | 44c | 573$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rays | 45c | 549.98$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.49 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 44c | 517.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Blue Jays | 13c | 461.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Rays | 45c | 453.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 45c | 449.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rays | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 39c | 418.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.64 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rays | 43c | 406.58$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rays | 45c | 404.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.75 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e9…4a51backed Blue Jays | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 46c | 390.2$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.71 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 47c | 389.36$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.36 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 46c | 384.5$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.63 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rays | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.43 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Blue Jays | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Blue Jays | 57c | 336$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.16 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rays | 65c | 333.85$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 320$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 40c | 305$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…ed4fbacked Blue Jays | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 46c | 263.09$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rays | 46c | 261.96$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50b…54debacked Blue Jays | 55c | 250.37$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Blue Jays | 19c | 233.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 55c | 227.77$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rays | 47c | 225.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.53 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays | 28c | 210$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9397…bd13backed Blue Jays | 55c | 198.41$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Rays | 45c | 186$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 43c | 183$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Raysthis page
- NRFI: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.