TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Cavaliers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Jazz, Cavaliers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,485,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,474,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,485,812 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 780 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz17c282,989$48,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234,943.7251844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz17c84,569$14,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,294.852,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Jazz17c60,000$10,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,699.7735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Jazz16c53,104$8,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,826.527424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers33c52,130$17,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,228.691,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed Jazz16c49,446$7,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,534.45253.8%28 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+27.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz17c42,405$7,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,196.171,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz16c40,000$6,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,6901,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz18c38,604$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,604.3376746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz17c34,544$5,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,766.992,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz35c33,211$11,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,451.031,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Jazz42c32,606$13,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,867.4210746.7%50 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers71c31,826$22,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,641.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz53c30,269$16,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,121.883,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Jazz18c28,142$5,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,076.7140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers57c24,659$13,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,939.571,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Cavaliers2c22,598$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.5164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz18c22,222$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,222.0223245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Cavaliers4c21,303$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Jazz14c20,000$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,099.6847043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers60c19,490$11,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,722.152,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff12…09f9backed Jazz55c18,357$10,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,331.7719388.1%170 W · 23 L+48.6wins+0.25per pick63cpaid+46.2%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz15c17,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,874.947028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Cavaliers1c17,152$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.6227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers80c17,072$13,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,603.323,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz9c13,853$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,662.094,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Jazz15c12,958$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,019.6361336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Cavaliers0c12,250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.58820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac1…e989backed Jazz31c12,060$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,321.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+90.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Jazz31c11,287$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,751.1623747.7%113 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers42c11,265$4,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,787.3889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz30c10,873$3,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.8248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Cavaliers25c10,705$2,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,692.0325925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz15c10,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,9251,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz15c10,205$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,674.4362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz36c10,197$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,567.1112143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Jazz19c10,078$1,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,209.722,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz18c10,050$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,240.9715841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers77c9,614$7,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,409.9934456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd6…918ebacked Cavaliers2c9,449$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006811.8%8 W · 60 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers52c9,396$4,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,876.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Cavaliers34c8,882$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0006540%26 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz41c8,456$3,468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,987.8561939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Jazz25c7,898$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,898.1217723.7%42 W · 135 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Jazz16c7,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,30015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Cavaliers56c7,285$4,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,107.8610255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Jazz12c7,167$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.235621.4%12 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b21…fed5backed Jazz15c6,999$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+233.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Jazz31c6,388$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,387.26248.4%30 W · 32 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick38cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz59c6,346$3,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,606.8185344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Cavaliers41c6,329$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.2439744.3%176 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked Cavaliers40c6,284$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003411.8%4 W · 30 L-8.5wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-62%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz71c6,276$4,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz16c6,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25048938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f82…9b01backed Jazz16c6,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,25016635.5%59 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Jazz18c5,556$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,555.565550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Cavaliers28c5,532$1,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.9881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz15c5,448$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,644.2336741.4%152 W · 215 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cavaliers53c5,364$2,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,866.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Jazz54c5,310$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.4410448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Jazz15c5,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,26018151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Jazz16c5,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20021450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5798…ab44backed Jazz18c5,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10015740.8%64 W · 93 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Cavaliers66c4,870$3,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.4678445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1a…cee8backed Jazz18c4,846$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,962.055324.5%13 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Jazz38c4,783$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,963.7424752.6%130 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Cavaliers59c4,549$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68811747%55 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf0e…1f6cbacked Jazz22c4,545$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,545.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz18c4,444$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,644.4446632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff7…4bb3backed Cavaliers70c4,290$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-51.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Jazz18c4,200$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,44414244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz17c4,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,32037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz15c4,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,40061835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz16c4,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,36032039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Jazz17c4,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3201353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5582…6af1backed Jazz15c4,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz16c4,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9849142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1baa…173dbacked Jazz10c3,969$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,572.461136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz32c3,920$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.350838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3c7…5a9bbacked Jazz16c3,750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1502060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe35…d34abacked Jazz18c3,355$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.98823.9%21 W · 67 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Jazz63c3,201$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.0242640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jazz16c3,152$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,641.2939958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed Cavaliers64c3,031$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9409938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4534…f867backed Jazz35c3,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.113625.7%35 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick25cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Jazz15c3,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,549.9931538.1%120 W · 195 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a1…2974backed Cavaliers47c2,960$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39317331.8%55 W · 118 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf531…b062backed Jazz16c2,875$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42554838%208 W · 340 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cavaliers1c2,830$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.37211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…53a9backed Jazz51c2,801$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.75046%23 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Jazz18c2,778$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.7833735.3%119 W · 218 L+1.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70fb…f161backed Jazz18c2,752$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,256.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+48.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc1…6e30backed Jazz19c2,700$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.497541.3%31 W · 44 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb94…04f4backed Jazz14c2,700$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,33322633.2%75 W · 151 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz16c2,667$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,240.281,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Jazz33c2,492$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.9415348.4%74 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Jazz49c2,430$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.650241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Jazz46c2,281$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236.7627144.3%120 W · 151 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8049…1e6cbacked Cavaliers33c2,280$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7501631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf312…eee8backed Jazz44c2,226$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.632842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.