TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Cavaliers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,262
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,262 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 313 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbf51…4a30backed Jazz50c25,010$12,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,510.476746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaba0…52cabacked Jazz48c22,902$10,993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,908.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+69.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf689…1c3abacked Cavaliers1c10,016$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers50c7,773$3,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,866.763,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers51c6,565$3,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,342.263,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz48c5,358$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Cavaliers52c5,214$2,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,711.2259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Jazz48c4,026$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.661,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cavaliers53c4,022$2,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.481,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Jazz48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Cavaliers52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Cavaliers52c2,324$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.571,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz49c2,173$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers49c1,934$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.325,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Cavaliers52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x140d…49f9backed Cavaliers52c1,846$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jazz49c1,551$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.431,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers50c1,509$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.689,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz47c1,354$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.621,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers52c1,161$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.484,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…e89abacked Jazz49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Jazz49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4150754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53047651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Jazz48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52018747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Cavaliers51c999.99$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz48c973.4$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.173,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Cavaliers52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41616053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz47c768.79$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.941,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe39…d4c6backed Cavaliers52c705$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c42…1836backed Cavaliers52c654$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Jazz49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30618151.4%93 W · 88 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Jazz49c580.38$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.993961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Jazz52c572.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6225847.3%122 W · 136 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Jazz50c450$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22559144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cavaliers48c401$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.482,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae5d…e546backed Cavaliers52c362$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Cavaliers51c344.51$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.72,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jazz48c312.96$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7440648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15662347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz48c299.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9950653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0df…731fbacked Cavaliers52c268$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f2…e0d8backed Cavaliers52c256$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e99…2cb3backed Cavaliers52c253$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0f9…6c8cbacked Cavaliers52c251$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.52450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81c…7f8abacked Cavaliers52c242$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78c…1840backed Cavaliers52c241$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Cavaliers52c240.38$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1254158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72c4…2c30backed Cavaliers52c238$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7b…cf7bbacked Cavaliers52c237$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87b1…5476backed Cavaliers52c233$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d4…3265backed Cavaliers52c230$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…6bd6backed Cavaliers52c229$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a54…3c2ebacked Cavaliers52c228$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Jazz46c227.78$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12324138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Cavaliers54c227.78$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12326545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46a…3598backed Cavaliers54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204040%16 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz56c219.7$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.678,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0236…fa20backed Cavaliers49c215.16$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cavaliers51c215.15$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.731,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa411…f6c0backed Cavaliers52c214$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e49…1d2fbacked Cavaliers52c213$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz48c207.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10895548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900d…76aabacked Cavaliers52c201$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Jazz49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10264139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Cavaliers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Cavaliers6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c1c…3ad0backed Cavaliers51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b87…f42dbacked Cavaliers53c198.11$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057544%33 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Cavaliers51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.967749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1423…e074backed Cavaliers52c195$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe458…1d3bbacked Cavaliers52c194$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7084…cde3backed Cavaliers52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e7c…d12fbacked Cavaliers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973f…1c29backed Cavaliers53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63f4…83a0backed Cavaliers52c188.4$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.976347.6%30 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69c9…b7f6backed Cavaliers52c187$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80bd…df1abacked Cavaliers52c183$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Jazz48c182.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.882646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9e0…44dfbacked Cavaliers52c180$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers52c179.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.593,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aea…7a17backed Cavaliers52c176$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc635…cba4backed Cavaliers52c174$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x279d…118fbacked Cavaliers52c173$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b56…5393backed Cavaliers52c169$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb2…31e0backed Cavaliers52c169$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.88333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6a…6b17backed Cavaliers52c163$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04c8…0679backed Cavaliers52c162$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f4…3fa3backed Cavaliers52c159$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.68333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c2…a38bbacked Cavaliers52c158$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…34ecbacked Cavaliers52c157$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Cavaliers51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce6c…6fa3backed Cavaliers52c155$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaea…3813backed Cavaliers52c155$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacd…2ae9backed Cavaliers52c154$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d4…872abacked Cavaliers52c151$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d6…36cbbacked Cavaliers54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024533.9%83 W · 162 L-19.1wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x427f…a30cbacked Cavaliers52c147$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…4b57backed Cavaliers52c143$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958f…91babacked Cavaliers52c141$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.