TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazzof Cavaliers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$732,223
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$735,122

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $732,223 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Cavaliers50c663,948$331,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,451.8687451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz50c250,000$125,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz50c200,000$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100,00054539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz51c30,000$15,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,70051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz50c22,500$11,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,1502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz50c21,107$10,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,553.423,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Jazz50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Jazz50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz50c17,296$8,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,577.59,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Jazz50c12,222$6,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,11124554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz50c10,320$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1601,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Jazz50c10,100$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00224045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Jazz50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Jazz51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90020744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz52c6,038$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,908.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz53c5,134$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,434.042,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Jazz50c4,400$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Jazz50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00032051.9%166 W · 154 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4366…c73ebacked Jazz50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0008742.5%37 W · 50 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Jazz53c3,799$2,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.7115855.7%88 W · 70 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9537944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz50c2,863$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.412,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cavaliers50c2,516$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2581,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Cavaliers47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17569149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz51c2,391$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,171.5992753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Jazz51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7824549%120 W · 125 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…3ad0backed Cavaliers47c1,543$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers48c1,421$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.521,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz77c1,412$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.488,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71f…3cafbacked Cavaliers48c1,400$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.962343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Cavaliers48c1,331$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63916254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz51c1,304$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.961,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Jazz55c983.38$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.674761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Jazz51c810.22$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.0118345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5877…4332backed Jazz52c699.98$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.992050%10 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb2…5a60backed Jazz52c699.89$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Jazz53c661$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.671,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Jazz51c647.06$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.068961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers47c642$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.592,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz50c573.04$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.522,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Jazz58c503.59$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24051651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Jazz52c480.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7750954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Jazz50c479.25$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.8824138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Cavaliers49c451$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.9949938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Cavaliers48c404.13$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.583,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Jazz53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18840243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Jazz53c398$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.061,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Cavaliers48c395.81$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9923250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Jazz52c381.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0836450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Jazz51c350$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17284150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cavaliers48c333$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Cavaliers48c328.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.61,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Jazz51c326.87$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Jazz52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.465253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Jazz80c282$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.410270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Jazz52c276$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4818747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Cavaliers48c270.83$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13062347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz62c243.88$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.641,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00f…c254backed Jazz52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3819147.1%90 W · 101 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Jazz51c229.34$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3816658.4%97 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Cavaliers26c219.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9718339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz68c205.49$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Cavaliers41c205.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Cavaliers47c202.13$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9532450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Jazz53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9436854.1%199 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Cavaliers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009250%46 W · 46 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Jazz51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0813339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb248…3652backed Jazz51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3163142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…8848backed Jazz52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3172250.6%365 W · 357 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ede…2de3backed Jazz51c176.47$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.474548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Jazz52c173.08$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0823547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Jazz51c151.19$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0824454.1%132 W · 112 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Jazz53c141.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7419951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Cavaliers49c134.81$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.692,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6281845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf308…4a83backed Jazz52c134.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb5…638abacked Jazz53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.082347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d5…b7dabacked Jazz78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers48c127.71$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Jazz62c121.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2821642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed Jazz51c116.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.833043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aea…5590backed Jazz51c113.32$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5318051.1%92 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cavaliers47c108.43$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.466143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Jazz53c108.04$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.782,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Jazz52c104.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0168542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Jazz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Cavaliers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Cavaliers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6213543.7%59 W · 76 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Cavaliers49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4974547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Jazz52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Jazz52c98.07$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0750648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa7…b707backed Jazz51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042035%7 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cd…1f8bbacked Jazz52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.158958.4%52 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Jazz53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Jazz53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz53c93.01$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9588845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.