TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,582
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,287

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,582 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Over48c19,954$9,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,628.11,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under52c14,472$7,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,913.782,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…280abacked Over49c10,010$4,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,904.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc79d…ca80backed Under51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,900560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00f4…df59backed Over49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9315…a744backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.996767.2%45 W · 22 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+31.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over48c5,986$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.153,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c5,596$2,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.069,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Under52c4,838$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.2776746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c4,268$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.694,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over53c4,134$2,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,171.383,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Over50c3,454$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.9542648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Over49c3,381$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.831,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under52c2,712$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.292,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Over49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.9611753%62 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over48c2,347$1,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,126.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c2,069$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.0450754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c2,033$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Under51c1,900$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93149142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95022055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under75c1,798$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.4648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under54c1,384$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.8765339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over48c1,254$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.922,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Under51c1,100$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54149938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over47c1,049$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.162,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over49c920.41$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45123850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under51c749$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6124138.6%93 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Under53c663.58$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.8823250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under52c645.33$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.032,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over52c503.28$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.281,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24016053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under52c475.9$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7714647.9%70 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under53c426.3$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.364158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under53c418.01$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.4863745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Over52c372$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.847749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over48c313$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.241,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14119149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1224556.3%138 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over42c275.07$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.531144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Under66c263.57$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.633554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1dc…1068backed Under51c251.16$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.612646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9501…a052backed Under53c232$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.046144.3%27 W · 34 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over38c209.62$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2459141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdb…0b12backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under52c193.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4630454.9%167 W · 137 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3165649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110044%44 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.319844.9%44 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under67c190$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9969049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over48c180$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Under52c171.48$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.3310454.8%57 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c169.52$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.998,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c162.92$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.733,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec1f…7d3dbacked Under59c148.49$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0986…9c4bbacked Under70c145.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6719649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5111158.6%65 W · 46 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a11…db4bbacked Under51c136.33$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.87255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under50c108$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.582,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over49c102.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2762744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6064…b477backed Under51c102.48$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.193100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under57c102.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.9283039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01af…f34ebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-19.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474250%21 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4937357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Under52c99.98$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.991421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-62.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0415953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1562652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a3d…2068backed Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3412253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over43c90.65$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Under64c82.34$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6436751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eaa…ffe3backed Under51c78.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0437755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc157…4cbfbacked Under53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Under51c63.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.315156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Under50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3017747.5%84 W · 93 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ff…af12backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013651.5%70 W · 66 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under51c59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f7…0899backed Under51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d86…112cbacked Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9954…ec72backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.692962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb16…9757backed Under53c55.48$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.272466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b96…7701backed Under51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.55343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6313…a6bdbacked Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255457.4%31 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd01…6e65backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under75c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1256454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1206…eaeebacked Over53c45.13$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.926645.5%30 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d3…a652backed Under53c43.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9466…1f15backed Under47c42.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6820847.1%98 W · 110 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.