NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6fc352b45cbb27d254a70ba068132a967b035eb215729c2e6df29e91bdb9f8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Under | 45c | 2,671$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.11 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 45c | 2,502$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,376 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,254$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.9 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Under | 44c | 916.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.23 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 57c | 704$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.28 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 55c | 658.91$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.19 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Over | 48c | 595.54$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 49c | 447.6$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 44c | 409.09$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.09 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 32c | 396.35$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 363.13$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.98 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 60c | 331.08$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 290.7$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 55c | 178.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 57c | 153.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.03 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 151.45$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 55c | 141$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 51c | 108.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 55c | 104.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 102.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…925abacked Under | 45c | 89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…e98fbacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 45c | 69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 66.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…45f0backed Over | 68c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc292…4557backed Under | 44c | 59.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 54c | 56.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 44.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 38c | 42.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Under | 46c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 45c | 38.09$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 65c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 42c | 30.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 40c | 28.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under | 47c | 25.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Jazz vs. CavaliersJazz won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 249.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5Under won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds Over 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.