NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 249.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9381b9cef1f1a4f5c2dd6abd58bbe0cd76e1c51f8948cf5e43c0bbcb0ead3792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $191,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $191,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 52c | 80,000$41,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,499.94 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 40,674$19,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,106.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.98 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 49c | 19,668$9,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030.7 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 48c | 10,808$5,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.28 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…3ad0backed Under | 49c | 8,841$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,508.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 49c | 8,227$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.04 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 8,129$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.79 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 8,056$3,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,233.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 6,295$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,189 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 6,021$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.4 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Under | 48c | 5,681$2,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,954.25 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 49c | 4,818$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Under | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.67 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.82 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 48c | 3,335$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.42 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Under | 49c | 2,845$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,326$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.3 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 1,955$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 54c | 1,761$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.87 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 49c | 1,729$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.17 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.5 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,470$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.3 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.85 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 49c | 700$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Under | 49c | 647.53$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.24 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…a457backed Under | 49c | 605.45$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 54c | 603.47$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Under | 79c | 562$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.02 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 558.85$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.85 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 49c | 530.61$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.61 | 258 | 47.3%122 W · 136 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 506.24$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.41 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 51c | 488$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.88 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…e1d9backed Over | 52c | 417.42$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 50c | 414.36$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.18 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 391.12$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.87 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 30c | 361.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.32 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 51c | 319.61$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 48c | 300$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 51c | 295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 48c | 229$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.17 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 336 | 50.6%170 W · 166 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 120 | 62.5%75 W · 45 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Under | 49c | 199.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 190.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Over | 51c | 157.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 49c | 131.87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 48c | 130$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 48c | 126.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.37 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 52c | 116$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 111.73$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 49c | 101$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 49c | 94.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 54c | 76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 80c | 65.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 377 | 55.2%208 W · 169 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb304…c022backed Under | 49c | 65.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Under | 50c | 53.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 51c | 44.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 48c | 44.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…ae06backed Under | 80c | 41.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…fa7bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e30…db95backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcb…9fdcbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 47c | 38.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 249.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Cavaliers won
- Jazz vs. CavaliersJazz won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 246.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 247.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 248.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 250.5Under won
- Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5Under won
- Jusuf Nurkić: Rebounds Over 8.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.