Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x570bb0a5ff9c5b85faeb1a27abae8f66a6b783a5df6b9ecd0d76cd0fef287b70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sheltonof Shelton, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $904,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,260,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $904,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Shelton | 63c | 313,023$197,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,101.61 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rublev | 38c | 235,264$89,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,400.32 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rublev | 31c | 47,448$14,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,708.79 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Shelton | 64c | 24,635$15,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,747.58 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Rublev | 20c | 16,741$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.24 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rublev | 35c | 14,379$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,983.18 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Rublev | 37c | 13,431$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913.69 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 32c | 10,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,160 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Rublev | 43c | 9,909$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.99 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Shelton | 58c | 7,814$4,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.23 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Shelton | 57c | 6,927$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,978.59 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Shelton | 59c | 6,069$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,499.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Rublev | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.98 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rublev | 44c | 4,708$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.74 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…da3ebacked Rublev | 42c | 4,570$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Shelton | 55c | 4,390$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.67 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rublev | 29c | 3,718$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Rublev | 43c | 3,580$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.91 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Shelton | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Shelton | 72c | 3,486$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.74 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rublev | 37c | 3,050$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.42 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Shelton | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Rublev | 7c | 2,900$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Shelton | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Rublev | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.8 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rublev | 41c | 2,487$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.7 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rublev | 42c | 2,375$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.48 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rublev | 29c | 2,270$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.16 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Rublev | 35c | 2,200$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rublev | 27c | 2,138$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…aff0backed Shelton | 57c | 2,020$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Shelton | 60c | 2,000$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.24 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Shelton | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Rublev | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53a…7200backed Rublev | 43c | 1,801$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…dd29backed Rublev | 43c | 1,792$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…0d14backed Shelton | 56c | 1,753$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc773…0205backed Rublev | 44c | 1,753$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Rublev | 53c | 1,728$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…17bebacked Rublev | 43c | 1,708$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…0065backed Shelton | 57c | 1,708$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…c481backed Shelton | 57c | 1,682$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c8…ccccbacked Rublev | 43c | 1,682$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Rublev | 11c | 1,656$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Rublev | 44c | 1,591$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…5488backed Shelton | 57c | 1,573$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Rublev | 20c | 1,471$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Rublev | 44c | 1,365$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.7 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Rublev | 40c | 1,291$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.8 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Rublev | 44c | 1,158$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.56 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Rublev | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Shelton | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.35 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Shelton | 59c | 1,128$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rublev | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shelton | 60c | 1,008$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.19 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Rublev | 20c | 1,005$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…7b32backed Shelton | 78c | 949.23$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…0004backed Rublev | 13c | 899.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Shelton | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Rublev | 19c | 873.68$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Rublev | 23c | 864.62$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rublev | 42c | 852$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.64 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Shelton | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Shelton | 62c | 804.5$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.71 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Shelton | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Rublev | 41c | 777$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…7920backed Shelton | 55c | 777$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…20e1backed Rublev | 5c | 766.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Shelton | 63c | 708.37$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Rublev | 36c | 700$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Rublev | 44c | 681.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…3c13backed Rublev | 19c | 668.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.03 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Shelton | 62c | 658$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Shelton | 56c | 656$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Rublev | 17c | 643.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Shelton | 76c | 638.66$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.67 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Rublev | 44c | 600$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Rublev | 43c | 582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.26 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Shelton | 57c | 578.95$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Rublev | 35c | 552.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…26eabacked Rublev | 30c | 547.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.1 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Rublev | 20c | 534$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.8 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Rublev | 44c | 520$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Shelton | 58c | 518.21$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.21 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Rublev | 19c | 515.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rublev | 34c | 512.25$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Rublev | 39c | 507.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Rublev | 21c | 497$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rublev | 44c | 465.91$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…d2f4backed Shelton | 61c | 455.6$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Rublev | 22c | 454.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Rublev | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 61.6%61 W · 38 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Shelton | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rublev | 45c | 444.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Rublev | 44c | 435.92$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.47 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Shelton | 58c | 401.72$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.72 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Rublev | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Shelton | 57c | 361.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26a…48dabacked Shelton | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5060…79c4backed Shelton | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.