TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Brewers, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,674
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,623

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,674 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers50c55,056$27,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,771.9338043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00038047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers40c23,841$9,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,511.81,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Rangers49c16,952$8,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,645.5235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rangers63c9,103$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,372.9921847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers55c6,026$3,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,738.51,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Brewers51c5,807$2,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.57455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers49c4,300$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1931,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Rangers49c4,041$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,060.821,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers49c4,017$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,057.222,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rangers65c4,010$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.1578445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe829…f91cbacked Brewers49c3,452$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6902650%13 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Brewers52c3,269$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Rangers51c2,148$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.6528258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Brewers48c2,102$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008.8121740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers49c1,801$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912.981,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers49c1,676$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.11,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers58c1,665$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.339,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers51c1,510$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1922948.9%112 W · 117 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Rangers49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9710041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers17c1,084$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.572,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4680…b33dbacked Brewers14c1,036$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1453438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers48c1,028$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.71,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Rangers55c881.14$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2515033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Rangers50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40065248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers51c784$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.161,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Rangers49c745.99$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Rangers62c745.04$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.4676456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Brewers50c601.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Rangers49c566$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.661,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers49c555.16$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers53c547.17$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…cc9abacked Brewers8c544.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick12cpaid+31%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rangers26c538.46$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.4666645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers46c497.71$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0170841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers52c441.44$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.551,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers49c409.98$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.091,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rangers52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8557744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Rangers50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20010451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Brewers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers49c399.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9822142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Rangers49c397.97$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.2431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Rangers50c395$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Rangers55c363.59$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6216654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeb3…4091backed Brewers51c352.94$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806731.3%21 W · 46 L-10.9wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-33.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rangers49c349$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.791,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc28e…86c8backed Rangers49c339.13$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8b5…41b3backed Brewers6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206131.1%19 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Brewers39c331.01$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12957545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked Rangers52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.692263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rangers44c305.98$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.4779740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers49c275$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2527751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers57c262.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.776,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96b5…9718backed Brewers35c256.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers59c245.91$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.824,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers45c243$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0318446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Brewers52c231.23$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12066448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rangers50c215.5$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.751,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0adb…7693backed Brewers5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10857.1%6 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-80.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Brewers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Rangers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brewers48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Brewers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers50c190$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4463152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Brewers51c189.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5616340.5%66 W · 97 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rangers52c187$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers63c171.86$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.196,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Brewers35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010541%43 W · 62 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fec…fc7bbacked Brewers12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201022.9%3 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Brewers48c150$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f77…fdb8backed Rangers23c150$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52516%4 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Rangers52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2340144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7ea…f31cbacked Brewers49c141.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.182737%10 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Rangers50c140$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7014146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Brewers38c120.12$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.284531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011637.1%43 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Rangers25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7545732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Rangers50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Brewers50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61cd…541ebacked Rangers80c99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.814864.2%95 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5b…8893backed Brewers49c87.6$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65c8…4b32backed Brewers48c86.73$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8cb…0f0cbacked Brewers51c80.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24e6…8f44backed Rangers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers45c80$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.947745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Rangers50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Brewers78c79.76$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.215955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x900b…34bcbacked Brewers51c68.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Brewers30c67.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8613740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x175b…b14cbacked Rangers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Rangers49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…c816backed Brewers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…c9d3backed Brewers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb02c…3591backed Brewers51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.