Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters: Learner Tien vs Andrey Rublev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8da0f7cc5470a24be678ad89d7732b63316d3d98d5d592d088a11489d5dc138
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Tien, Rublev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $725,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Tien | 57c | 360,967$204,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,281.13 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rublev | 48c | 156,779$74,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,790.43 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Rublev | 45c | 154,421$69,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,931.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Tien | 20c | 70,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Tien | 26c | 50,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Rublev | 59c | 14,640$8,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,039.35 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Rublev | 79c | 10,233$8,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.78 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee50…7ed6backed Rublev | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rublev | 61c | 9,406$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.74 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Rublev | 49c | 9,263$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.95 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd297…2c15backed Tien | 38c | 9,177$3,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,511.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rublev | 57c | 8,288$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,538.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Rublev | 68c | 7,500$5,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Tien | 49c | 5,592$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Tien | 35c | 5,299$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.59 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Tien | 32c | 5,219$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.08 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Tien | 53c | 5,189$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Tien | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Tien | 46c | 4,612$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rublev | 57c | 4,034$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Tien | 9c | 3,666$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Rublev | 48c | 3,538$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.3 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rublev | 50c | 3,526$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rublev | 53c | 3,503$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Tien | 49c | 3,281$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.5 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Tien | 36c | 2,765$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Tien | 48c | 2,522$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.48 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Rublev | 53c | 2,352$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Rublev | 51c | 2,072$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.31 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Tien | 50c | 2,000$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Rublev | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +84%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…1722backed Tien | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…cfbabacked Tien | 1c | 1,992$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…7b83backed Tien | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Tien | 29c | 1,886$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.82 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…79fcbacked Rublev | 54c | 1,781$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab2…3899backed Tien | 46c | 1,781$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Tien | 31c | 1,618$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…c698backed Tien | 47c | 1,575$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7eb4backed Rublev | 53c | 1,575$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Rublev | 74c | 1,499$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.65 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Rublev | 60c | 1,420$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Tien | 2c | 1,400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c72…e35ebacked Rublev | 54c | 1,298$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94e…2eb7backed Tien | 46c | 1,298$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rublev | 58c | 1,293$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.94 | 191 | 31.4%60 W · 131 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Rublev | 51c | 1,263$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Rublev | 53c | 1,005$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Rublev | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…c8acbacked Tien | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Rublev | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Rublev | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Rublev | 70c | 887$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.1 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Tien | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Rublev | 62c | 801.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.54 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…7630backed Tien | 49c | 766$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.34 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Tien | 49c | 744.73$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.92 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Rublev | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Rublev | 51c | 713.73$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.73 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rublev | 52c | 699.97$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.99 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Rublev | 64c | 683.66$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.6 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Rublev | 70c | 604.73$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Tien | 44c | 570.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c8…b9f7backed Rublev | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Tien | 55c | 550.64$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Rublev | 52c | 503.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…37d4backed Rublev | 50c | 502$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…5082backed Rublev | 52c | 500.35$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rublev | 60c | 500.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Rublev | 52c | 500$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…94c1backed Tien | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Tien | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Rublev | 57c | 485.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.33 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Rublev | 51c | 482.35$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tien | 35c | 468.22$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.14 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Rublev | 54c | 459.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Tien | 35c | 454.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.19 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…3b80backed Tien | 45c | 449.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Rublev | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…6032backed Tien | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Tien | 27c | 411.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.14 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…59b8backed Tien | 49c | 409.84$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.82 | 324 | 48.1%156 W · 168 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee38…7920backed Rublev | 48c | 408.2$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Tien | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Tien | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Rublev | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Tien | 27c | 363.63$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…5d85backed Rublev | 53c | 360.4$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +386.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tien | 54c | 354$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.46 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…7674backed Rublev | 57c | 340.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…54acbacked Tien | 55c | 330$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tien | 47c | 320.95$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.33 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Tien | 50c | 318.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Tien | 44c | 308.34$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Tien | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf72…a19fbacked Rublev | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd37…56cbbacked Rublev | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Rublev | 63c | 299.99$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…f3afbacked Rublev | 58c | 299.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.