NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09aa5f4210ff3e17e65072e73bf084a1d72246ec712b8d33c4efbc958192a435
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Trail Blazers, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,514,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,521,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,514,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 907 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 155,655$41,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,164.04 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 73c | 126,221$92,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,631.67 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 76,923$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 76c | 71,738$54,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,257.41 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Celtics | 73c | 58,953$43,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,917.23 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 58,233$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 50,000$13,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Celtics | 73c | 49,991$36,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,305.71 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 72c | 43,068$31,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,059.07 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Celtics | 74c | 41,364$30,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,754.59 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 40,000$11,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,049.56 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Celtics | 75c | 40,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 39,999$10,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,744.19 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 37,135$9,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,321.63 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Celtics | 73c | 35,000$25,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,444.22 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 74c | 33,295$24,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,538.38 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Celtics | 73c | 31,100$22,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,396.97 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 30,381$7,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,900 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 73c | 30,000$21,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 25,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 24,833$6,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,246.32 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 20,746$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.93 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 73c | 20,266$14,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 74c | 18,037$13,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.62 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…37babacked Celtics | 74c | 16,976$12,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,413.78 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Trail Blazers | 29c | 16,767$4,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.43 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 73c | 15,745$11,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,251.2 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 75c | 15,280$11,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,820 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 74c | 15,000$11,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Celtics | 74c | 14,123$10,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.07 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Celtics | 73c | 14,101$10,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,807.28 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 74c | 12,500$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.71 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 74c | 12,146$8,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,197.02 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 11,476$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.76 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 11,400$2,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 11,219$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.9 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 11,111$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…7d18backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 11,101$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3644…6fdfbacked Celtics | 73c | 11,021$8,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d75…c09fbacked Celtics | 76c | 10,526$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.32 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.87 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 9,997$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.25 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…0d09backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 9,994$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,698.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Trail Blazers | 7c | 9,706$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.68 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 9,275$2,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.42 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…c108backed Celtics | 73c | 8,754$6,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.55 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 8,509$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.12 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Celtics | 74c | 8,495$6,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.7 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…7bc1backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 8,230$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.49 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 74c | 8,108$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.11 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 7,916$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 73c | 7,316$5,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.1 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 72c | 7,146$5,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.59 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 6,816$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e1…f855backed Celtics | 74c | 6,757$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.76 | 287 | 42.9%123 W · 164 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Celtics | 75c | 6,660$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…3c1dbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 6,622$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 6,538$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 6,367$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…aa21backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 6,250$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 6,071$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Celtics | 73c | 5,688$4,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.55 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Celtics | 75c | 5,672$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.69 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Celtics | 74c | 5,481$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.37 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…d402backed Celtics | 73c | 5,476$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 5,309$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.34 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…53a9backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Celtics | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed Celtics | 73c | 4,912$3,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.24 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 4,787$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 4,546$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.18 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb5…53acbacked Celtics | 73c | 4,530$3,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…c0c0backed Celtics | 75c | 4,475$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Trail Blazers | 75c | 4,409$3,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 4,370$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.13 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 4,237$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.49 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Celtics | 25c | 4,202$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.56 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a59…9a2fbacked Celtics | 72c | 4,201$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.22 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 4,086$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.73 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a55…fd0dbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Celtics | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Celtics | 74c | 3,960$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.6 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,957$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.88 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,929$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,870$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.4 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3253backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,800$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 3,800$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed Trail Blazers | 27c | 3,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 3,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 261 | 31%81 W · 180 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…af80backed Celtics | 75c | 3,552$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.91 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89da…a6c2backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 3,514$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 103 | 4.9%5 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 3,300$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Celtics | 71c | 3,212$2,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.82 | 399 | 58.4%233 W · 166 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 3,160$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Celticsthis page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.