NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cf83b488e5dc9bf5f07d9f44096dc7089c0911ca29629051aec51968941f04d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Celtics, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Celtics | 50c | 22,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 20,367$10,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,985.43 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 48c | 20,296$9,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,842.89 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 12,636$6,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.36 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 8,440$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 7,138$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 50c | 6,660$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,318.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 6,039$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.17 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 5,983$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.3 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Celtics | 47c | 5,241$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.05 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,600$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 49c | 3,959$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.96 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 47c | 2,850$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.02 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…8852backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,756$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 48c | 2,382$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 49c | 2,209$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.34 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,509$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,454$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.69 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…1627backed Celtics | 48c | 1,452$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,432$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.99 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5c…813dbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,304$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,179$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.27 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,150$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.29 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…4324backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1a…cbd6backed Celtics | 48c | 1,030$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 909.77$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Celtics | 48c | 803.12$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.5 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 731.23$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.02 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 588$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.12 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 524.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.82 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Celtics | 51c | 510$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Celtics | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Celtics | 50c | 499.58$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25b5…0e9bbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 420$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics | 52c | 372.29$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…d038backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 345$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 47c | 335.23$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Celtics | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 324.98$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.94 | 172 | 33.7%58 W · 114 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Celtics | 51c | 319.3$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Celtics | 48c | 312.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Celtics | 47c | 304.47$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.71 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 288.24$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.24 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d76…b6ddbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Celtics | 48c | 264.95$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.18 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Celtics | 78c | 263.46$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 168 | 64.3%108 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 211.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.67 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 209.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 146 | 36.3%53 W · 93 L | +16.4wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 184.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.09 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 179.47$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc0…099dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Celtics | 50c | 157.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Celtics | 47c | 150.55$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Celtics | 51c | 127.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 124.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Celtics | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x743a…ddcdbacked Celtics | 47c | 119.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Celtics | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Celtics | 50c | 116.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Celtics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 48.9%107 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Celtics | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Celtics | 67c | 101.47$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Celtics | 49c | 101.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…c6f4backed Celtics | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Celtics | 49c | 86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.14 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…340fbacked Celtics | 50c | 85.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 84.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Celtics | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Celtics | 47c | 80.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Celtics | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d9…e3e6backed Celtics | 47c | 79.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Celtics | 49c | 77.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Celtics | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Celtics | 48c | 70.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 68.08$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Celtics | 46c | 64.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 249 | 55%137 W · 112 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 57.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 53.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 50.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635b…195dbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 382 | 52.4%200 W · 182 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 47c | 47.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.