TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over49c18,905$9,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,263.4511653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c14,229$7,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,216.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.942,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c9,385$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,692.532,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over53c8,410$4,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.6545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under51c5,436$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.116752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Under51c4,224$2,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,052.21,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1512051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c3,512$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,721.124,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed Over49c3,502$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.183351.5%17 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over49c3,348$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.7826949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over48c2,596$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under52c2,115$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.381,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd550…9228backed Under48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.331741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x537b…c216backed Over1c1,651$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-43.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c836.21$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c778.85$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.593,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over48c499.82$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.911,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Over53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018852.7%99 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Over50c450$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22531155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over56c408.12$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.557153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Over56c399.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9954853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014252.1%74 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Over54c296.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605054%27 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under46c283.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3adc…972dbacked Under52c283.23$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.115853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over7c272.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Under44c209.41$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.278158%47 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3126956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3117353.2%92 W · 81 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Over57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.362,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Over50c120.72$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3632952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9981…a0d7backed Over54c103.7$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under48c100.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.582,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa843…8c8bbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.153661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Under52c96.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1421546.5%100 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c92.75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.233,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Over52c92.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9568940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2322…d8ffbacked Over54c83.39$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Under52c82.23$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4712652.4%66 W · 60 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under52c77.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.068344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fec…871cbacked Under52c76.71$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.823844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Over49c72.96$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.758852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Under52c68.4$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.833357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Under47c59.57$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5710255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under45c54.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.921,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over56c50.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.733,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Under52c49.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.587060%42 W · 28 L+8.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c33…c2f6backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbe…6030backed Over54c46.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over50c46.55$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1822655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370e…dc78backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x745e…5975backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…c195backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7055…9717backed Under48c45.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.875650%28 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Under47c45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.856058.3%35 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x273c…c438backed Over54c44.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x786f…4858backed Over54c42.59$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Under52c41.33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8410659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over50c40.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209745.4%44 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5995…3385backed Under52c39.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.755152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aea…a6dfbacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea20…18fabacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f30…9977backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd023…8e17backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under45c34.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8345651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under52c33.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1911752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Under52c33.35$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.016055%33 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc1…3e21backed Over50c32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Over57c31.39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8921749.3%107 W · 110 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1393…8392backed Over49c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.199048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc503…b82cbacked Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4152246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb5…6a69backed Over53c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.373040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00cb…6b5dbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x617d…82dcbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4e…490abacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae69…0c24backed Under51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.234060%24 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…1ed1backed Under51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.743652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8727…164ebacked Over54c24.07$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+32.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Under52c22.69$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8917155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed Over50c22.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.963444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Under52c21.37$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.266055%33 W · 27 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27ce…9a42backed Under52c21.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.35942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1466…9942backed Over54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Over54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1121051.4%108 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…43aabacked Over53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under51c19.79$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7845460.4%274 W · 180 L+21.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under52c19.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.376448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.