NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0bf4f8ca26eba38637ba37741029ecb6b7c8c580a932fe7c3269e47c227e21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 49c | 18,905$9,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,263.45 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 14,229$7,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,216.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 9,385$4,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,692.53 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 53c | 8,410$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.65 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 5,436$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.1 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 4,224$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.2 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 51c | 3,512$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.12 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Over | 49c | 3,502$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 49c | 3,348$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.78 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,596$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.26 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 2,115$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.38 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…9228backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x537b…c216backed Over | 1c | 1,651$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 836.21$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 778.85$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.59 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 499.82$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.91 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Over | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 56c | 408.12$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.55 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.99 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 46c | 283.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.83 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Under | 52c | 283.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 7c | 272.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 42.2%62 W · 85 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 44c | 209.41$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.27 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 50c | 120.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…a0d7backed Over | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 100.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…8c8bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…55e7backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Under | 52c | 96.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 92.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 92.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2322…d8ffbacked Over | 54c | 83.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 52c | 82.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 52c | 77.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 52c | 76.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 49c | 72.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 52c | 68.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Under | 47c | 59.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 54.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 56c | 50.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 52c | 49.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c33…c2f6backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…6030backed Over | 54c | 46.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 50c | 46.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…dc78backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745e…5975backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…c195backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Under | 48c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Under | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…c438backed Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786f…4858backed Over | 54c | 42.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 52c | 41.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Over | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 52c | 39.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aea…a6dfbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea20…18fabacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…9977backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd023…8e17backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 45c | 34.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 52c | 33.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 52c | 33.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3e21backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 57c | 31.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…b82cbacked Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Over | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…6b5dbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617d…82dcbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…490abacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…0c24backed Under | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…164ebacked Over | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 52c | 22.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Over | 50c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 52c | 21.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…9a42backed Under | 52c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…9942backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…43aabacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 51c | 19.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…5f3cbacked Under | 52c | 19.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.