NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56f9f78f3aaf5a3015e4f33f6d15bb910c4a4f4263e11fd1a3fdfa29764d13e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500.01 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 47c | 29,314$13,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,777.79 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 20,903$10,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,330.23 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…ca3cbacked Over | 52c | 19,328$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,996.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Over | 47c | 15,200$7,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,144 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 51c | 7,116$3,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.3 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 6,524$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.25 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 4,634$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250.89 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 4,593$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 4,005$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.31 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Over | 51c | 3,563$1,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,824.99 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Over | 54c | 3,475$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 3,362$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.95 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed Over | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 1,649$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 49c | 1,500$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.54 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 45c | 1,500$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.99 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 50c | 1,386$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c54…da2cbacked Under | 50c | 1,368$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.12 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 55c | 1,348$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,213$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.66 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.96 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under | 51c | 850.98$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 798.13$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…250fbacked Under | 54c | 679.31$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 53c | 665.63$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.45 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fec…871cbacked Under | 53c | 605.47$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.23 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 66c | 605$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.75 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 579.54$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.65 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 547$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.91 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…f1e3backed Under | 54c | 488.27$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 50c | 439.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 54c | 414.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.7 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 64c | 360.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.92 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 54c | 348$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.08 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 54c | 338.31$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.93 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7808…3046backed Under | 54c | 332.89$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.62 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Under | 54c | 276.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.15 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 48c | 269.88$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.93 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ea…6d0fbacked Over | 52c | 269.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 246.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.86 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 239$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…7917backed Under | 54c | 213.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…7c99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…f5abbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 197.67$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5995…3385backed Under | 54c | 185.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 54c | 184.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 53c | 182.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3db…30f1backed Over | 55c | 182.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c6…95a0backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 45c | 167.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 166.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103e…062dbacked Under | 53c | 164.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.88 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 163.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…db16backed Under | 54c | 162.61$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…17c4backed Over | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 35cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…94febacked Under | 54c | 158.81$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…cd31backed Under | 54c | 158.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 46c | 129.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 51c | 128.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…6a69backed Under | 53c | 125.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…0607backed Under | 54c | 124.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Under | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 53c | 120.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under | 55c | 118.42$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71eb…5ec6backed Under | 54c | 113.31$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.95 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Under | 49c | 113$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…f5e5backed Under | 54c | 107.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 44c | 101.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…5a08backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 27.7%39 W · 102 L | -16.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.5wins | -0.37per pick | 50cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 98.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…73febacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a44abacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5this page
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Neemias Queta: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Shaedon Sharpe: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. CelticsCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.