NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2963cb3385c76122b1bcb7f27a2e2ad3324910990668e84dfaedb0f7b146fab1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Bulls, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,371,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,323,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,371,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 788 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls | 18c | 234,137$41,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,044.73 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls | 18c | 172,562$31,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,061.22 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Bulls | 18c | 119,354$21,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,536.35 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed Bulls | 18c | 119,280$21,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,656.72 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rockets | 72c | 61,541$44,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,104.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bulls | 18c | 60,053$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.07 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Bulls | 38c | 60,000$22,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,799.98 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 67c | 43,932$29,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,409.21 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bulls | 19c | 43,047$8,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,062.14 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Rockets | 71c | 35,374$25,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,087.05 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Bulls | 18c | 35,361$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.38 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 18c | 29,109$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.38 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Bulls | 11c | 26,996$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.82 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…169ebacked Bulls | 17c | 24,800$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,215.98 | 274 | 24.5%67 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Bulls | 17c | 22,613$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.1 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Bulls | 23c | 22,365$5,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,154.6 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Bulls | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bulls | 39c | 19,183$7,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,565.47 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Bulls | 19c | 18,421$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Bulls | 18c | 17,811$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.7 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Bulls | 18c | 16,500$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…749ebacked Bulls | 21c | 13,886$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.09 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Bulls | 17c | 13,876$2,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,387.98 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…e989backed Bulls | 17c | 13,467$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls | 20c | 12,991$2,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.28 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Rockets | 78c | 12,881$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.53 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…9204backed Rockets | 80c | 12,665$10,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,533.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rockets | 74c | 12,508$9,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,226.98 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 79c | 12,252$9,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.92 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bulls | 18c | 12,088$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.61 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x890c…95f4backed Bulls | 18c | 12,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls | 18c | 10,500$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bulls | 20c | 10,419$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.23 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bulls | 13c | 10,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls | 18c | 9,444$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls | 1c | 9,405$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 72c | 9,085$6,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,564.04 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Rockets | 80c | 8,535$6,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…6611backed Bulls | 18c | 8,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Bulls | 18c | 8,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…7456backed Bulls | 18c | 8,000$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475.56 | 613 | 36.1%221 W · 392 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Bulls | 19c | 7,997$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.99 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Bulls | 21c | 7,604$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Bulls | 24c | 7,150$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.32 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d64…738ebacked Bulls | 17c | 7,127$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.91 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Bulls | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8b…77d4backed Bulls | 18c | 7,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bulls | 24c | 6,627$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.63 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Bulls | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Bulls | 20c | 5,668$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.87 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Bulls | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2107…8f4cbacked Bulls | 18c | 5,556$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Bulls | 18c | 5,500$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.56 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832d…d420backed Bulls | 22c | 5,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bulls | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…173dbacked Bulls | 19c | 4,603$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Bulls | 18c | 4,564$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.85 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Bulls | 28c | 4,463$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bulls | 31c | 4,201$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.86 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Bulls | 22c | 4,103$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.5 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Bulls | 42c | 3,852$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.8 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Bulls | 18c | 3,828$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bulls | 30c | 3,578$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.38 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Bulls | 18c | 3,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bulls | 26c | 3,246$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.56 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Bulls | 19c | 3,187$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…89b2backed Bulls | 18c | 3,010$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Bulls | 19c | 3,000$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Bulls | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Bulls | 18c | 2,811$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked Rockets | 77c | 2,800$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.8 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Bulls | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Bulls | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Bulls | 18c | 2,776$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.7 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf312…eee8backed Bulls | 41c | 2,739$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Bulls | 18c | 2,723$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.1 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bulls | 28c | 2,720$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.84 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Bulls | 24c | 2,683$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Bulls | 18c | 2,623$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.38 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Bulls | 21c | 2,601$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.53 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Bulls | 21c | 2,493$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 367 | 18.5%68 W · 299 L | -36.8wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bulls | 25c | 2,443$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.52 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Bulls | 18c | 2,440$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.2 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…975abacked Bulls | 18c | 2,429$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.28 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Bulls | 1c | 2,300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Rockets | 79c | 2,190$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.32 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…641fbacked Bulls | 25c | 2,131$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.59 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Bulls | 31c | 2,125$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.09 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockets | 73c | 2,100$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153d…cae2backed Bulls | 6c | 2,090$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 98 | 35.7%35 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Bulls | 24c | 2,048$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 337 | 35.3%119 W · 218 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a2…1aabbacked Bulls | 10c | 2,036$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Bulls | 17c | 2,017$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.75 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bulls | 18c | 2,000$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.68 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bulls | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…c549backed Bulls | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -12.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42f7…5b3ebacked Bulls | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bulls | 15c | 2,000$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Bulls | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 502 | 39%196 W · 306 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Bulls | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 438 | 51.8%227 W · 211 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Rocketsthis page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.