NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02f214fd5667e642c7a271c024419d179cd1b62db1a209f089c5b2dc1e1b4b93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45e4…b056backed Rockets | 55c | 50,000$27,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…a7b7backed Rockets | 55c | 44,857$24,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,671.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Rockets | 55c | 12,292$6,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,726.19 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a0…f72cbacked Bulls | 45c | 10,127$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,569.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…32dabacked Rockets | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea7…7248backed Bulls | 45c | 9,842$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,413.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…a28bbacked Bulls | 45c | 8,935$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7180backed Rockets | 55c | 8,642$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…4f06backed Rockets | 55c | 7,876$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…7b56backed Bulls | 45c | 7,457$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…b217backed Bulls | 45c | 6,807$3,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,743.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…2c48backed Bulls | 45c | 6,211$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…7328backed Bulls | 45c | 6,075$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,341.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0d…182abacked Bulls | 45c | 6,014$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Bulls | 45c | 6,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…d7cdbacked Bulls | 45c | 5,973$2,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,285.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10a…77d1backed Rockets | 55c | 5,888$3,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…a897backed Bulls | 45c | 5,692$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x175d…8fe0backed Bulls | 45c | 5,290$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,909.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 45c | 5,242$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…3a07backed Bulls | 45c | 5,086$2,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91cf…7ea0backed Rockets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…1790backed Bulls | 45c | 4,944$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd4…5bdfbacked Rockets | 55c | 4,774$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff0…208fbacked Bulls | 45c | 4,525$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…4ea9backed Bulls | 45c | 4,476$2,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,461.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…63bbbacked Bulls | 45c | 4,021$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…49bfbacked Bulls | 45c | 3,769$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…cbb6backed Rockets | 55c | 3,681$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…94d5backed Bulls | 45c | 3,635$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 55c | 3,560$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…07ecbacked Bulls | 45c | 3,531$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc34…2807backed Bulls | 45c | 3,488$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707a…3b65backed Rockets | 55c | 3,333$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…fb12backed Rockets | 55c | 3,251$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…de94backed Bulls | 45c | 3,239$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…e858backed Rockets | 55c | 3,211$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…d395backed Rockets | 55c | 3,200$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b98…7983backed Bulls | 45c | 3,127$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 46c | 3,001$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.54 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…8dbcbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,989$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…d038backed Bulls | 45c | 2,986$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,642.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e89…197cbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,730$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…bd6cbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,727$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…75fdbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,701$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…0247backed Rockets | 55c | 2,620$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c4…c602backed Bulls | 45c | 2,586$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…fb71backed Bulls | 45c | 2,560$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…f5d9backed Bulls | 45c | 2,507$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…8d29backed Bulls | 45c | 2,466$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 55c | 2,425$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…e4fabacked Bulls | 45c | 2,281$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…6f6cbacked Rockets | 55c | 2,249$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…616bbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,197$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c94abacked Bulls | 45c | 2,188$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…76d6backed Rockets | 55c | 2,110$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…feedbacked Bulls | 45c | 2,085$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Rockets | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bulls | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5e…9bd5backed Bulls | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…f1f6backed Rockets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1702…746abacked Bulls | 45c | 1,955$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcc…da42backed Rockets | 55c | 1,787$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Rockets | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…3b00backed Bulls | 45c | 1,684$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…077abacked Rockets | 55c | 1,679$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…05b9backed Rockets | 55c | 1,678$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b2…6dcdbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,664$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce4…b103backed Rockets | 55c | 1,647$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b15…2d28backed Bulls | 45c | 1,594$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…e8ebbacked Bulls | 45c | 1,564$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284a…0ababacked Bulls | 45c | 1,490$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0e…e2d5backed Bulls | 45c | 1,448$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…8866backed Rockets | 55c | 1,427$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…f900backed Rockets | 55c | 1,283$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…deeabacked Rockets | 55c | 1,283$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abb…b08abacked Rockets | 55c | 1,255$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…9c72backed Bulls | 45c | 1,236$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…84fbbacked Rockets | 55c | 1,190$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57bc…c972backed Rockets | 55c | 1,190$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…c8c9backed Bulls | 45c | 1,167$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e64…1222backed Bulls | 45c | 1,143$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…7af1backed Rockets | 55c | 1,140$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Rockets | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…bdb5backed Bulls | 45c | 1,062$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…9907backed Rockets | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…1221backed Bulls | 45c | 1,042$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…a3f4backed Bulls | 45c | 1,028$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…6778backed Bulls | 45c | 1,025$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…5271backed Bulls | 45c | 1,002$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1595…4b2abacked Bulls | 45c | 998$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453a…901abacked Bulls | 45c | 952$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…d2ccbacked Bulls | 46c | 943$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 45c | 931.99$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.71 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x120c…7e23backed Bulls | 45c | 925$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…f2fabacked Bulls | 45c | 917$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…8969backed Bulls | 45c | 902$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…93a0backed Rockets | 55c | 837$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…037ebacked Rockets | 55c | 836$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…084cbacked Bulls | 45c | 819$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.