NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a887f61da60a6d3817095e6d8f6663b15e280ec786bd66634074bc909c55e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $436,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 49c | 322,961$157,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165,593.48 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 51c | 58,266$29,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,715.87 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 53c | 15,316$8,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,108.04 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under | 52c | 13,462$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,666.61 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 6,915$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 50c | 5,332$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 4,908$2,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.81 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 4,258$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.1 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 4,001$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.93 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 47c | 3,667$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.81 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 52c | 3,502$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 48c | 3,225$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 51c | 2,226$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.26 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 52c | 2,210$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.2 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 51c | 1,999$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.55 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,795$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.5 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 54c | 1,491$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.24 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.84 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 1,356$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.62 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 52c | 1,256$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.12 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 52c | 1,146$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.58 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 52c | 1,035$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 50c | 1,002$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.92 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 51c | 800$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…7f7fbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 464.44$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 52c | 432$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.36 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 401.91$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 46c | 394.17$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.32 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 51c | 200.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…f42dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5a…4a26backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 54c | 163$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 52c | 160$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 52c | 148.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 24c | 131.56$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Over | 48c | 80.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1d…95debacked Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 52c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 52.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 48c | 42.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Over | 50c | 38.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 36.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6a…86bbbacked Under | 52c | 34.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.