TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,882 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Rockets51c115,202$58,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,285.091,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Rockets52c67,083$34,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,683.091,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bulls49c31,206$15,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,023.989,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls49c28,015$13,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,322.023,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Bulls48c26,084$12,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,563.7213248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Bulls48c20,187$9,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,543.792,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bulls48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Bulls51c18,933$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,276.9559347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls51c17,481$8,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,565.6937557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Bulls48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9977348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Rockets52c12,712$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,610.2424053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls49c12,155$5,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,226.296,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets51c7,590$3,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,870.942,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Rockets52c7,515$3,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,907.85259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7372…8c10backed Bulls50c7,515$3,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.28450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Bulls49c7,143$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,642.8640041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bulls51c7,107$3,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,480.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Rockets53c6,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1801,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bulls48c5,685$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls48c4,240$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.7958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Rockets52c4,200$2,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18427546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Rockets51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04018142%76 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Rockets51c3,209$1,637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,636.511,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bulls48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3d…55b3backed Rockets51c2,396$1,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.963548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Bulls48c2,330$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.665750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Bulls49c2,143$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.932,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Bulls49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02010255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Rockets50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets53c1,727$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.51,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets51c1,633$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.8364651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls67c1,563$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.533,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bulls49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7652,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls50c1,418$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7094,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Rockets51c1,359$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.0341553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Rockets53c1,321$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.137048.6%34 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets33c1,242$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.053,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bulls49c1,122$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.222,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Bulls49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Bulls50c783$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.551350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets52c710.44$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.12,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Bulls48c626$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.5240648%195 W · 211 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Bulls49c616.51$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.428961.8%55 W · 34 L+8.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Rockets50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Bulls49c499.98$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.011,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Bulls48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Rockets53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rockets52c357.69$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18618241.2%75 W · 107 L-17.6wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xad44…db14backed Bulls48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.55253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Bulls79c241.2$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5550347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Bulls49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Bulls48c201.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9184150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Bulls48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10452844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bulls48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…a405backed Rockets53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Rockets51c179.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1968940.2%277 W · 412 L-54.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Bulls48c179.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1732450.6%164 W · 160 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79a…56c2backed Bulls50c174.61$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3123250.4%117 W · 115 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Rockets50c174.61$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3117953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Bulls50c154$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Bulls51c143.59$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3691050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x125e…583fbacked Bulls67c143$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.777749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Bulls49c142.86$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8681845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Bulls49c140$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.448146.2%222 W · 259 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Rockets44c137.06$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Bulls48c125$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Bulls48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1752242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Bulls52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4837850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Bulls48c80.01$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.666143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed Bulls48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.647948.6%233 W · 246 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Bulls48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.642143.7%184 W · 237 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d90…cf08backed Bulls51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4319940.7%81 W · 118 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets50c76.9$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.451,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Bulls50c68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Bulls51c63.55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1448451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rockets22c63.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.973,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Bulls48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.59655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Bulls51c60.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.781,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0eb…5cc6backed Rockets53c59$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.276540%26 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Bulls48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfcb…0047backed Bulls48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-52.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Rockets21c51.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8316036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e93…8af8backed Bulls51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.021369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Rockets24c48$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Rockets37c43.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0188845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd8…e7d4backed Rockets73c42.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe371…466abacked Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711642.2%49 W · 67 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6736450.8%185 W · 179 L-1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6732450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6721756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7c…82b5backed Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1443…0a59backed Bulls48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Bulls49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8229156.4%164 W · 127 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Bulls50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024253.3%129 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Bulls48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8afe…f3c5backed Rockets51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Rockets50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1865950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Rockets49c35.88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5822247.3%105 W · 117 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.