NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf98409c68431d223619379f8ce5200e0d162bc762b873c247a797516a05b2613
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 28,828$13,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,578.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 53c | 16,981$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,981.13 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 53c | 9,568$5,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,497.03 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 9,000$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.99 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 6,996$3,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,358.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 48c | 5,562$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,673.72 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 51c | 5,150$2,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626.5 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 49c | 4,940$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.6 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.17 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 47c | 2,625$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.75 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 51c | 1,620$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.8 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,020$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.28 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 811.15$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.13 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Over | 53c | 661.02$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.68 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 53c | 639$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.33 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 587.52$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.13 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 47c | 379$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Over | 80c | 302.96$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 278.96$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 229.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd482…b402backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Over | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…d47abacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…1432backed Over | 56c | 179.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 127.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 44c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 10c | 107.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Under | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 57c | 94.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 47c | 90.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 49c | 90.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…9b1bbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 48c | 73.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 54c | 58.96$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 47c | 52.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9501…a052backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 48c | 42.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…74b7backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 33.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Over | 53c | 29.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 52c | 28.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 48c | 28.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Over | 52c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 53c | 20.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.