NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80c2fb2b6ac071fccc4bee1329439a876973f78d8aa5944f04fec80ebd65cebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Rockets, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 54c | 10,568$5,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,861.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 46c | 9,325$4,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,293.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Bulls | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.99 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Rockets | 48c | 6,230$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls | 54c | 4,204$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.75 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af4…ed6bbacked Rockets | 46c | 3,907$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.68 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rockets | 48c | 3,810$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.74 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bulls | 52c | 3,434$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.3 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Bulls | 54c | 2,765$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.44 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rockets | 43c | 2,577$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Bulls | 54c | 2,239$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…8bd8backed Rockets | 48c | 1,473$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bulls | 53c | 1,150$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.5 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.06 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Rockets | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Bulls | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Bulls | 52c | 875.08$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.04 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Rockets | 48c | 873$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Rockets | 48c | 627$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.96 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Rockets | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Bulls | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…3275backed Bulls | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Bulls | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Rockets | 47c | 397.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Rockets | 26c | 337$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Rockets | 47c | 274$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Bulls | 77c | 259.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…583fbacked Bulls | 56c | 247.61$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.29 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bulls | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f0…7e22backed Bulls | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Bulls | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Bulls | 64c | 185$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Rockets | 48c | 173$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Bulls | 54c | 107.8$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911d…2438backed Bulls | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…f98cbacked Bulls | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46a…3598backed Bulls | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Bulls | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Bulls | 53c | 70.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rockets | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Rockets | 46c | 59.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Bulls | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…26fdbacked Bulls | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc33…9636backed Rockets | 46c | 43.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 192 | 42.7%82 W · 110 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Rockets | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Rockets | 47c | 42.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…2d9cbacked Bulls | 71c | 41.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 108 | 57.4%62 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Bulls | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Bulls | 52c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Bulls | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…5555backed Bulls | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b5…b26dbacked Rockets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bulls | 55c | 29.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bulls | 53c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Bulls | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 317 | 45.4%144 W · 173 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Rockets | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Bulls | 55c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a4…5f78backed Bulls | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9784…e452backed Bulls | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.