NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba43f3e07f0288a7f89a5fe9d89ef2a1068d14773543049706efa0cd165af64e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $562,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $562,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 350,844$177,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173,449.33 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 98,394$48,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,544.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…d8b6backed Over | 51c | 77,507$39,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,978.49 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 49,012$24,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,497.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 50c | 16,293$8,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,146.61 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 50c | 14,773$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,386.46 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 11,111$5,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,444.39 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 50c | 11,055$5,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,527.5 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.99 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…f7ebbacked Under | 49c | 7,180$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -10.1wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…eddebacked Under | 51c | 6,464$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 6,006$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.94 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 5,804$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.05 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…244dbacked Over | 48c | 5,700$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…d209backed Over | 48c | 5,700$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 53c | 4,716$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,512$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,826.08 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…915ebacked Under | 52c | 3,028$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e3…a120backed Under | 52c | 3,008$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…869cbacked Under | 52c | 2,693$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa7…d7ecbacked Under | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Under | 50c | 2,680$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,958$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.59 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,909$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.59 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 50c | 1,866$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.14 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 1,514$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.28 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5077…4e7cbacked Under | 49c | 1,305$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.45 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 51c | 1,163$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.83 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 51c | 1,128$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.37 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Under | 50c | 1,005$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 50c | 999.99$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.66 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4d…4c9dbacked Over | 51c | 990.01$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 49c | 877.61$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.58 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…a405backed Over | 50c | 824.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 803$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 664.81$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 49c | 607.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…d703backed Under | 52c | 581.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 50c | 468.63$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.32 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 48c | 414.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 393$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 245 | 56.3%138 W · 107 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Under | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 259.4$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Under | 48c | 250.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…c657backed Under | 49c | 235.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d1…0ffabacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 51c | 199.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 172.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc330…1667backed Under | 49c | 166.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 164.11$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 49c | 146.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 52c | 119.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 51c | 102.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…6759backed Under | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -16.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…3c17backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 97.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…ee01backed Over | 51c | 97.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 83.45$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a5…2fa8backed Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 79.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 16c | 79.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +32.5wins | +0.23per pick | 16cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Bulls won
- Bulls vs. RocketsRockets won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 225.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Rockets: O/U 228.5Over won
- Spread: Rockets (-10.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Rockets (-13.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.