MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8597f620d86f53803368a1a19855a01ce987e42fdca9a12bf54cb60615d6bbb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,639,255
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,653,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,639,255 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 569 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x886c…9dc6backed Cubs | 48c | 850,555$408,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442,288.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Brewers | 45c | 743,409$336,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336,682.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Brewers | 52c | 245,000$128,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128,323.93 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 47c | 130,377$61,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,484.7 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…e113backed Cubs | 48c | 119,767$57,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,278.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Cubs | 48c | 73,729$35,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,339.01 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers | 31c | 65,180$20,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,186.91 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 47c | 56,038$26,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,469.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Cubs | 48c | 52,320$25,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,206.65 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Brewers | 20c | 50,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Brewers | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,999.99 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Brewers | 52c | 45,140$23,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,693.61 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Brewers | 52c | 45,000$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs | 75c | 43,889$33,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,872.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cubs | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Brewers | 12c | 39,316$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.83 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 23c | 38,503$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829.21 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 26c | 32,855$8,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,605.01 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Cubs | 79c | 28,445$22,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,859.09 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Brewers | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Cubs | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Cubs | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,249.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 37c | 23,525$8,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,679.33 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Brewers | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Brewers | 17c | 20,639$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.37 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Brewers | 52c | 20,101$10,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,452.69 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Brewers | 51c | 16,049$8,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,184.86 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs | 75c | 15,597$11,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,946.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cubs | 75c | 13,869$10,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.44 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Cubs | 77c | 13,718$10,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.25 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Cubs | 47c | 11,091$5,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,878.08 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cubs | 74c | 10,460$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.44 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…2509backed Brewers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Brewers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d7…1f7fbacked Cubs | 48c | 8,888$4,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Brewers | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,240 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Cubs | 79c | 7,601$5,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Cubs | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Brewers | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed Brewers | 52c | 6,660$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.2 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Brewers | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 52c | 5,769$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brewers | 52c | 5,355$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.79 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…6d5fbacked Cubs | 48c | 5,205$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Brewers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Brewers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.98 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers | 1c | 4,933$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.93 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed Brewers | 53c | 4,550$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,411.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Cubs | 49c | 4,508$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,317.4 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…0fbebacked Cubs | 47c | 4,300$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Brewers | 16c | 4,094$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.86 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cubs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…6426backed Cubs | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Brewers | 53c | 3,828$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.71 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Brewers | 52c | 3,586$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.48 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f47…febfbacked Cubs | 47c | 3,570$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 79c | 3,537$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.57 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed Cubs | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Brewers | 52c | 3,481$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…9e6cbacked Brewers | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099a…236cbacked Brewers | 52c | 3,340$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…0ce5backed Brewers | 54c | 3,200$1,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Cubs | 48c | 3,200$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Cubs | 47c | 3,172$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 23c | 3,130$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…d226backed Cubs | 48c | 3,092$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,608.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Brewers | 53c | 3,021$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…3878backed Brewers | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d0…6be2backed Cubs | 48c | 3,000$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Cubs | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.97 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Brewers | 6c | 2,977$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.68 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c0…5a19backed Cubs | 48c | 2,898$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eda…c3b7backed Brewers | 52c | 2,865$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 0c | 2,838$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…5e0abacked Brewers | 52c | 2,826$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1c…1b96backed Cubs | 48c | 2,727$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…373fbacked Brewers | 52c | 2,714$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs | 74c | 2,690$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0912…ebc2backed Cubs | 48c | 2,667$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 48c | 2,666$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Brewers | 44c | 2,586$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.66 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…ca11backed Cubs | 49c | 2,582$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 53c | 2,509$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cubs | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5194…cd01backed Brewers | 21c | 2,393$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…57cebacked Cubs | 49c | 2,285$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…bc5bbacked Brewers | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed Brewers | 53c | 2,250$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…8154backed Brewers | 14c | 2,222$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…8eaabacked Brewers | 1c | 2,222$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8763…6cc0backed Brewers | 52c | 2,212$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421f…92e1backed Brewers | 53c | 2,079$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e5…96b1backed Cubs | 49c | 2,063$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 1c | 2,058$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe357…6d96backed Brewers | 52c | 2,046$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…dd1dbacked Cubs | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…bd47backed Brewers | 52c | 2,033$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.