TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5347…36a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst NHL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT12752.8%67 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 127 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$17.81
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$20.24
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$25.79
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+619.2%+$68.12
Nets vs. Heatbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Thunder vs. Knicksbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.97
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.48
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$12.42
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+150%+$19.5
Trail Blazers vs. Jazzbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5.65
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9.82
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.41
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+88.7%+$11.53
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Showing 25 of 127 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$35.25
Yankees vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$22.15
Tigers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Orioles vs. Yankeesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Red Sox vs. Blue Jaysbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$29.81
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$23.08
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$17.29
Astros vs. Bravesbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$16.5
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.76
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.56
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Everton wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+197.2%+$159.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
South Florida vs. North Texasbacked South Florida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
Memphis vs. West Virginiabacked West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will another team win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.