TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Memphis vs. West Virginia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Memphisof Memphis, West Virginia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,835

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,209 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked West Virginia7c21,548$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.9830949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed West Virginia8c20,118$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.786243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed West Virginia11c16,506$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.723842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed West Virginia19c12,142$2,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.2920341.9%85 W · 118 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Memphis68c9,740$6,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,069.4839954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed West Virginia4c6,404$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.875520%11 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed West Virginia8c6,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500166.3%1 W · 15 L-5.2wins-0.32per pick38cpaid-87.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked West Virginia31c5,867$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.1519051.6%98 W · 92 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Memphis68c4,980$3,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.191163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked West Virginia32c3,975$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.85520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed West Virginia31c3,714$1,143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.5650%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked West Virginia4c3,610$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9224229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed West Virginia32c3,534$1,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.71250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed West Virginia15c3,510$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.567335.6%26 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed West Virginia3c3,226$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.392370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Memphis75c2,992$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.954242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed West Virginia33c2,156$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.474445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked West Virginia13c2,106$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.8612816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked West Virginia33c2,010$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.28448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Memphis67c1,860$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed West Virginia32c1,600$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.449843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…d28dbacked Memphis66c1,504$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Memphis73c1,503$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.97757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-21.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa533…650ebacked West Virginia31c1,371$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Memphis67c1,318$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7fc4…0bfdbacked West Virginia31c1,300$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac2…d644backed Memphis68c1,240$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.58580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked West Virginia4c1,205$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.252326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cb4…3b72backed West Virginia34c1,139$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Memphis66c1,139$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ce…e250backed West Virginia36c1,003$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12f5…1c1abacked Memphis64c1,003$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked West Virginia2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x483e…2d6bbacked Memphis70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec74…05f6backed Memphis64c980$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be3…abcdbacked West Virginia36c980$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked West Virginia2c850$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Memphis68c845.39$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5839847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa5e…6a2cbacked West Virginia33c808.78$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Memphis68c750$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecf8…f5cdbacked West Virginia33c694.82$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…9182backed West Virginia33c666$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96e0…1537backed Memphis67c666$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf61b…f73ebacked Memphis70c664.85$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed West Virginia2c643.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.467414.9%11 W · 63 L-0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12cd…ab49backed West Virginia13c600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Memphis67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Memphis69c594.51$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.4415252.6%80 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee72…e4c0backed Memphis79c540$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed West Virginia29c499.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.991921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed West Virginia31c486$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.614055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed West Virginia32c479.84$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.55757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+61.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed West Virginia31c461.41$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.183461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed West Virginia34c447.57$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed West Virginia31c440$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.43548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74bc…3d45backed West Virginia32c436.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb3…f525backed Memphis70c363.66$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb775…2205backed Memphis69c334.41$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.671172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7ef…55d4backed West Virginia17c327.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Memphis74c324.53$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.451758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Memphis72c312.33$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.462560%15 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2686…7a67backed Memphis66c303.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.15259.6%31 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1596…4361backed Memphis66c301.12$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.38540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe856…9c30backed West Virginia34c301.12$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.38333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe973…7005backed Memphis67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd57…c7e2backed Memphis68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Memphis70c290$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Memphis67c274.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.631827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe897…513ebacked Memphis74c270.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.345339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Memphis69c268.2$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.146354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Memphis70c235.71$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.711752.9%9 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Memphis63c232.76$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.124129.3%12 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6a8b…c2d0backed Memphis79c210.04$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Memphis69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6218858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked West Virginia31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6216747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5228…93eebacked Memphis73c187.74$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.697100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked West Virginia32c187.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked Memphis69c182.32$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.52560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe837…7b55backed West Virginia31c180.65$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71b1…ac2cbacked West Virginia7c175$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.123324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc40e…e0b6backed Memphis67c173.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.87742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3154…3a8ebacked West Virginia29c163.11$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Memphis67c160$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.88100%8 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81.3%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1382…794abacked Memphis72c151.89$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.46771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2088…9c55backed Memphis67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251580%12 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Memphis68c149.19$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.748078.8%63 W · 17 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+21%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x79a2…10ecbacked Memphis68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.062050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef6b…134dbacked West Virginia31c143.81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac8…7a9ebacked Memphis70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed West Virginia15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc668…117fbacked West Virginia19c131.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28b6…4eddbacked West Virginia23c129.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa715…15e2backed West Virginia15c124.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc9…19a1backed West Virginia33c123.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7e…47c9backed Memphis67c123.33$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…c13dbacked West Virginia31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked West Virginia33c107.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.47653.9%41 W · 35 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f74…a238backed Memphis70c107.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.144100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Memphis67c104.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.942166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe354…a9a0backed West Virginia16c103.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.