TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Sabres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Sabres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,217
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,217 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd8de…0f0dbacked Kraken45c10,035$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,519.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7382…dafcbacked Sabres55c9,999$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,499.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken27c4,891$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,590.7935545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Sabres59c2,623$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.3313361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Kraken22c2,554$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.0531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken39c1,237$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.881,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Kraken42c1,067$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.268950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0403…6928backed Sabres55c1,066$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0a…3320backed Kraken45c1,065$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Sabres73c1,030$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75018144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sabres1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f3babacked Sabres57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sabres56c999.79$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.8885148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Kraken11c988.75$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.6518237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Sabres2c836.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.734245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Kraken44c599.77$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.874452.3%23 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+24.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken22c550.22$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.853,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken44c476.9$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres54c470.93$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.31,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken39c400$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fee…76bfbacked Kraken46c371.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+34.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…a7e1backed Sabres54c371.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken42c371.23$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3129847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Kraken31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.588744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Kraken27c312.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.262839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sabres58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.541,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken43c289.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.1754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres80c254.47$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.2391334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken43c204.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.8572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Sabres57c201.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11513457.5%77 W · 57 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Sabres56c199.96$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e5…717dbacked Kraken44c181.82$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.82580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken45c179.3$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1541851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x094b…26bbbacked Kraken42c171.45$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa6…d3eabacked Kraken31c160.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.96850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Sabres57c154.39$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815456.5%87 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Sabres57c131.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50ee…8531backed Sabres56c128.57$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Sabres64c122.37$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.774045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Sabres57c117.54$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6712859.4%76 W · 52 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Kraken13c108$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.887450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Sabres72c104.72$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Sabres51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c4…490ebacked Sabres73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Kraken43c99.94$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9781846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Kraken42c95.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5224945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sabres75c91.49$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6285464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken44c87.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0384051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e7…35b1backed Sabres58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3947…b31ebacked Kraken47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+60.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kraken45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4447249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Sabres54c79.98$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5919347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Kraken46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.095453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken45c65.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.358346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87f9…d965backed Kraken46c56.52$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.521471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb734…502cbacked Kraken44c54.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.551963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9c…842bbacked Sabres57c54.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311580%12 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+64.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a15…eac3backed Sabres56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3c…750bbacked Sabres58c52.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.182958.6%17 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Sabres63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe837…7b55backed Sabres54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ff…3fbebacked Kraken44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…2ab9backed Sabres55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259755.7%54 W · 43 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfeb3…a376backed Sabres57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-42.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb398…170abacked Kraken46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0b…f974backed Sabres55c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…21edbacked Kraken45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdca…7a51backed Kraken45c39.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3d…a926backed Sabres55c39.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.97850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9d…7271backed Kraken45c38.9$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick55cpaid+61%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x229a…9ec4backed Kraken45c38.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd145…2642backed Sabres55c37.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b8…7adcbacked Sabres55c37.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cd8…affcbacked Sabres55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x007a…9cc0backed Sabres56c35.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Sabres57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x60f8…32f2backed Kraken42c34.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.310941.3%45 W · 64 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1f…1a71backed Kraken44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d58…5faebacked Kraken45c33.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e0…ad87backed Sabres55c33.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5347…36a5backed Sabres55c32.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6981…8ac5backed Sabres63c31.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40f…c372backed Sabres56c31.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.53944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c0a…5db2backed Kraken43c31.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+60.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5082…f514backed Sabres55c29.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.21333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9b0…9b67backed Kraken45c29.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc96b…c8acbacked Sabres56c26.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.7wins-0.41per pick63cpaid-65.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2e77…b250backed Sabres57c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2730%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Sabres57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152055%11 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa879…7515backed Sabres57c26.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-40.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d28…b20ebacked Kraken44c24.68$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa739…ae98backed Kraken45c24.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e57…d9eabacked Kraken45c24.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb34e…c317backed Sabres57c24.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b9a…8f02backed Kraken45c24.02$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+29%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fb6…82acbacked Kraken45c23.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.955100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe2ab…fc79backed Kraken44c23.34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabfc…0643backed Kraken46c23.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.531060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…c769backed Sabres58c23.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.391050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f4f…b4b3backed Sabres61c22.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.993729.7%11 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.