TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cubs vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Giantsof Cubs, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$511,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$507,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $511,200 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants46c371,009$170,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200,345.0938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs54c103,092$55,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,669.4535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Cubs54c80,000$43,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,20044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Cubs54c76,450$41,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,28322852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs54c42,000$22,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,68055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Cubs54c24,738$13,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,358.5223455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs46c23,135$10,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,597.261,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Giants46c11,111$5,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,999.9360249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Cubs63c7,992$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00025454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Giants39c7,968$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.8921747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Giants39c7,420$2,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.8833845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs54c5,241$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,830.082,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Giants55c4,995$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,243.1943949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cubs14c4,750$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Giants66c4,609$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,583.7354345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Cubs1c4,362$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6257744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants56c3,292$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.789,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs45c2,689$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Giants46c2,526$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.0919649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cubs32c2,141$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.451,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Cubs66c1,993$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.687153.5%38 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants46c1,884$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.092,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Cubs54c1,500$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81339056.9%222 W · 168 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Giants60c1,480$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.186,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Cubs53c1,461$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.2428258.5%165 W · 117 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs44c1,384$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.8254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Cubs5c1,250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.021,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Cubs50c1,231$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.2353448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs53c1,183$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.981,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants50c1,085$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.16,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Cubs47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4518349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Cubs55c1,009$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cubs1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Cubs55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants47c900$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Giants45c884.11$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.261838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cubs46c862.26$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3974,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants47c857.11$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1165248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Giants65c822.15$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.0443946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x419d…7817backed Giants57c800$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3402661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Giants64c795.07$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.377147.9%34 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Cubs60c777.67$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5528447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Giants47c726.95$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.0570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Cubs50c720.88$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.988349.4%41 W · 42 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Cubs38c707.88$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.510527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cubs4c705$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.65053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Giants47c638$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.141,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Cubs41c610.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Cubs17c609.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.19554.7%52 W · 43 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Cubs48c555.66$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.8317243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cubs53c536.74$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4751151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Giants46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Giants45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27530151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3222…2823backed Cubs3c450$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516148.4%78 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df7…baefbacked Giants47c437.38$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.986144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Cubs54c423.04$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.4431254.5%170 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Giants59c387.64$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Giants48c378$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.0617946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs55c375.81$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20588549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Giants79c375.05$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.639160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants45c349.99$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cubs55c347$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Giants70c345.88$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6325364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Giants70c331.76$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Cubs55c330.91$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1824254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants46c330$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.21,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Giants47c316.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.9837357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Cubs53c300.33$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.371,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1593,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Cubs51c280.39$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14311331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cubs38c265.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs53c226.77$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.191,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed Giants45c222.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.444027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Giants45c221.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0931347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants53c220.75$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.751,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x800e…d9bdbacked Cubs55c218.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Cubs53c214$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4240548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants46c209$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.862,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs54c203$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2563152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Cubs33c200.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.832,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…ff23backed Cubs54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088355.4%46 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Giants46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1082,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Giants47c195.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7446631.1%145 W · 321 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b72…b462backed Giants46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089d…c7c9backed Cubs12c188$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5710713.1%14 W · 93 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-39.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10fb…130cbacked Giants46c186.95$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.95875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Cubs55c182.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016659.6%99 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Cubs55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Cubs32c181.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5895930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs56c180.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c5…f177backed Giants46c176.08$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.08977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29f7…2b93backed Giants46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.04977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74eb…5568backed Cubs54c138.88$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cubs73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants27c130.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e2c…e2fdbacked Cubs77c129.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a2…37c7backed Cubs56c125.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd904…0a2dbacked Cubs54c124.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7989…da85backed Cubs54c124.07$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17e0…1e88backed Giants43c123.15$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1554441.2%224 W · 320 L-22.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.