MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3516b7d353fa359c1ec59f2c451a1647cc19772370b74f4088617bc58a8d470
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Brewers, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,505
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,505 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 53c | 35,236$18,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,619.89 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cubs | 47c | 14,620$6,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,688.6 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Cubs | 49c | 10,762$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.27 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Brewers | 19c | 8,594$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.76 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Brewers | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.05 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Brewers | 53c | 4,714$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 49c | 4,240$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.75 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs | 67c | 3,941$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cubs | 50c | 3,257$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.64 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Cubs | 61c | 3,025$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.92 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 47c | 2,904$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cubs | 77c | 1,955$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.56 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cubs | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Brewers | 53c | 1,265$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.29 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76de…8945backed Cubs | 48c | 1,248$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 52c | 1,226$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.72 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 20c | 1,218$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.17 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…c260backed Brewers | 52c | 1,213$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…fe69backed Brewers | 52c | 1,187$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…4aa8backed Cubs | 48c | 1,152$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 26c | 1,080$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Brewers | 53c | 1,048$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.08 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Brewers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cubs | 47c | 899.95$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.97 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…d5f3backed Brewers | 51c | 839$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…9a99backed Cubs | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ac3dbacked Cubs | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…df01backed Brewers | 51c | 761$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 6c | 700$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf455…195bbacked Brewers | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 42c | 625.88$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 47c | 615$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 23c | 601.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.9 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 51c | 587.55$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.15 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Brewers | 53c | 570.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 39c | 513.94$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.91 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Brewers | 51c | 473.67$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Cubs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Cubs | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cubs | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cubs | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Brewers | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Brewers | 39c | 373.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cubs | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Brewers | 21c | 325.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Cubs | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Brewers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 38c | 282$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Brewers | 23c | 274.43$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cubs | 48c | 259$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Brewers | 20c | 258.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 53c | 236$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Brewers | 9c | 222.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 49c | 210.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Brewers | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Brewers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cubs | 48c | 199.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Brewers | 52c | 191.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432d…bda6backed Cubs | 68c | 187.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.05 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…ec42backed Brewers | 8c | 185.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 46c | 174.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Brewers | 9c | 160$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Brewers | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cubs | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…0b77backed Brewers | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Brewers | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Cubs | 36c | 128.06$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Cubs | 47c | 125$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…9d3bbacked Brewers | 22c | 114.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 183 | 50.3%92 W · 91 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Brewers | 51c | 111$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.61 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs | 48c | 109.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.97 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Brewers | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…1808backed Cubs | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Cubs | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Brewers | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cubs | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cubs | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Cubs | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Cubs | 48c | 99.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 47c | 98.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Brewers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Brewers | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 52c | 94.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Brewers | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 52c | 91.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc5…470ebacked Cubs | 50c | 86.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.