MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7aea71c2a9f3f415e9d08c907a7f7b464023b08620546d4af08cb56634acda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Orioles, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,722,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,748,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,722,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 44c | 1,265,983$556,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556,966.71 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 56c | 414,248$231,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182,268.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 56c | 174,613$97,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,817.15 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 56c | 113,650$63,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,006 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Yankees | 56c | 101,428$56,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,642.45 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yankees | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,000 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 56c | 80,000$44,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 56c | 55,660$31,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,490.55 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yankees | 56c | 52,356$29,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,060.25 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yankees | 56c | 50,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,000 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 58c | 43,412$25,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,193.12 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yankees | 56c | 41,557$23,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,288.5 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 44c | 31,519$13,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,868.56 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Orioles | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 57c | 28,934$16,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,441.62 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yankees | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yankees | 56c | 21,000$11,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yankees | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,799.99 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 56c | 13,888$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110.71 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 56c | 13,000$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,720 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yankees | 72c | 12,096$8,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.41 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Yankees | 56c | 11,180$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.31 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yankees | 56c | 11,111$6,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,888.84 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Orioles | 28c | 7,713$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.31 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 15c | 7,393$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Orioles | 25c | 6,367$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.14 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 56c | 6,287$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,746.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Orioles | 42c | 5,006$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102.51 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 56c | 4,700$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…3495backed Yankees | 58c | 3,714$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.88 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Orioles | 42c | 3,580$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.59 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Yankees | 56c | 3,484$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orioles | 24c | 3,258$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.35 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Orioles | 9c | 3,006$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 60c | 2,490$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.11 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Orioles | 5c | 2,012$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Orioles | 2c | 2,006$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Yankees | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Orioles | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yankees | 57c | 2,000$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.32 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Yankees | 79c | 1,964$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Orioles | 54c | 1,861$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Orioles | 1c | 1,844$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…4350backed Orioles | 43c | 1,800$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9ea1backed Orioles | 42c | 1,758$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d2…6b85backed Yankees | 58c | 1,755$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,705$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…280dbacked Orioles | 41c | 1,703$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 24c | 1,672$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yankees | 57c | 1,610$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.19 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,593$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,547$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Yankees | 55c | 1,176$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yankees | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc560…1fc1backed Yankees | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yankees | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.5 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Orioles | 46c | 1,054$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.78 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Orioles | 5c | 1,012$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Orioles | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yankees | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yankees | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 42c | 999.97$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 41c | 999.96$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 57c | 991$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.59 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Orioles | 4c | 988.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yankees | 54c | 931.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.41 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Yankees | 54c | 929.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.04 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Orioles | 2c | 880$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yankees | 59c | 871.69$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.53 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 37c | 855$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 76c | 850.06$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 21c | 792.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 41c | 758.4$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.95 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Orioles | 16c | 709.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yankees | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yankees | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…b2dabacked Yankees | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yankees | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Orioles | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Yankees | 67c | 621.8$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yankees | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed Orioles | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee6…52f6backed Yankees | 60c | 588.63$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.86 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 72c | 554.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Orioles | 42c | 551.51$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.63 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yankees | 57c | 530$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.9 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Yankees | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db3…e657backed Yankees | 74c | 512.71$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Yankees | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Orioles | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 45c | 498.14$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.37 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 42c | 476.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orioles vs. Yankeesthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)New York Yankees won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.