MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4302d063f4bb7164247c8a956f961b1be7c84d161a109d6640893fffdae0b1d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs | 62c | 4,435$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.71 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Reds | 38c | 4,320$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,678.4 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 62c | 3,641$2,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cubs | 61c | 3,628$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,213.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cubs | 65c | 3,186$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.65 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Cubs | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Reds | 38c | 2,178$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.74 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 39c | 1,833$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.23 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Reds | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cubs | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.92 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Reds | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Reds | 55c | 1,017$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Cubs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Cubs | 62c | 1,000$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Reds | 39c | 937.29$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.94 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cubs | 42c | 880$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.31 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Cubs | 63c | 812.7$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Reds | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cubs | 61c | 789.24$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.44 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cubs | 7c | 783.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Reds | 38c | 740.92$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.37 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Reds | 38c | 649.95$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.97 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cubs | 2c | 636.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 58c | 500$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.11 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Reds | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Cubs | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 38c | 499.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc607…7958backed Cubs | 62c | 478.57$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 37c | 467.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cubs | 62c | 397.1$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Reds | 39c | 396$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.56 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 38c | 394.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.88 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2626…93abbacked Reds | 39c | 380$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Reds | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 38c | 341.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cubs | 62c | 259.68$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Reds | 39c | 258$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.38 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Reds | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 58c | 224.41$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.16 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cubs | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cubs | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Reds | 38c | 155.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Cubs | 67c | 150.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Reds | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cubs | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Reds | 40c | 118.6$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…a88abacked Cubs | 66c | 116.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Reds | 38c | 110.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.53 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Reds | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Reds | 40c | 104.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Reds | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 355 | 51.5%183 W · 172 L | +24.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…521fbacked Reds | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Cubs | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cubs | 60c | 87.6$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 38c | 81.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Reds | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3be9…8cd1backed Reds | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…56ecbacked Reds | 38c | 77.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Reds | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…4cd3backed Reds | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cubs | 60c | 67.36$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Reds | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…f2a9backed Cubs | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cubs | 63c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Reds | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Cubs | 62c | 61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 62c | 58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Reds | 31c | 57.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…97c8backed Cubs | 58c | 51.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Reds | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Reds | 38c | 49.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Cubs | 63c | 49.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c816backed Reds | 38c | 47.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520b…7645backed Reds | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…2553backed Cubs | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 60c | 37.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Reds | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Reds | 38c | 36.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Reds | 42c | 34.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d3…127cbacked Cubs | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…a18bbacked Cubs | 61c | 33.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 56c | 32.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…22c7backed Cubs | 63c | 31.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…fff5backed Cubs | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Reds | 39c | 31.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Reds | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…c876backed Cubs | 64c | 28.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…a9ffbacked Cubs | 62c | 26.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…85d0backed Reds | 39c | 26.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.