TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a6e…c082

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
153
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT12350.4%62 W · 61 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.5
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.25
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$28.13
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$11.03
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.07
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.46
Mavericks vs. Netsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$11.92
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.84
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$15.89
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+78.6%+$13.36
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$54.49
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.45
Mavericks vs. Rocketsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+100%+$47
Diamondbacks vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.85
Rangers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$25.65
Pirates vs. Bravesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$35.9
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36
Mets vs. Cubsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Pirates vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Reds vs. Athleticsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Royals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Giants vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Mets vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$11.12
Padres vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Rays vs. Guardiansbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Giants vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.53
Nationals vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.32
Red Sox vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.93
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Padres vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockies vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7
Reds vs. Cubsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$22.84
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Bruins vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$36
Blackhawks vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$21
All 3 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose State vs. Utah Statebacked Utah State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$48.64
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.