MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704be57340c7b0a1bd5b987f8bf90924ef03bdf3e60a3406bd6ad020beb61ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 346 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nationals | 56c | 13,598$7,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600.51 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Pirates | 48c | 9,615$4,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991.19 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Pirates | 50c | 7,048$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.55 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Nationals | 50c | 5,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Nationals | 53c | 3,518$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.93 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 39c | 2,973$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.82 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 39c | 2,670$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nationals | 52c | 2,422$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.83 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Nationals | 54c | 1,747$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.58 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Pirates | 52c | 1,670$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Nationals | 49c | 1,565$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 65c | 1,519$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.81 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 53c | 1,448$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.52 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…83dabacked Pirates | 80c | 1,393$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Nationals | 67c | 1,127$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Pirates | 50c | 1,000$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Nationals | 53c | 930$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.9 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 47c | 848.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.96 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Nationals | 49c | 817$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.33 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 52c | 769$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nationals | 51c | 600$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.13 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nationals | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 39c | 560$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nationals | 49c | 555.05$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.97 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 45c | 528.67$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.77 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Nationals | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nationals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Nationals | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 45c | 445$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 62c | 440.89$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.28 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…6491backed Nationals | 45c | 439.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 49c | 426$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.46 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Pirates | 79c | 381.37$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 47c | 372$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.16 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Nationals | 50c | 371.22$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Nationals | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 48c | 332$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 51c | 235.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 48c | 223.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 53c | 218.2$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.45 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Nationals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Pirates | 22c | 200$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Nationals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…cd16backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…4a5ebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…716ebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…289fbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…5c0bbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0add…142bbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…b3a6backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…7b28backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6b…0c40backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9e…5af9backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72b…584fbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…e7f7backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…ec88backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd613…3f24backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…e732backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c61…1d6bbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54f…ed41backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…32dfbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…dcc6backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345f…7238backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…6a97backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223e…b354backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd413…1416backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f93…f230backed Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1000…7028backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9965…b340backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…cfb5backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…145fbacked Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Pirates | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a9…3374backed Nationals | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Nationalsthis page
- Pirates vs. Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Nationals (-1.5)Pirates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.