MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x446fb1da5aaacf22d1f5058d1696564acec0bbecf1c9099bed8d816b1b804d1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Pirates, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Braves | 33c | 15,739$5,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 41c | 15,166$6,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,947.74 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 16c | 6,381$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 59c | 5,114$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Braves | 24c | 4,565$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Braves | 59c | 4,200$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Braves | 20c | 3,672$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.22 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Braves | 59c | 3,371$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.89 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pirates | 42c | 2,645$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.24 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Braves | 59c | 2,400$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.98 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Braves | 59c | 2,280$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pirates | 78c | 1,603$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.25 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Braves | 16c | 1,573$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Pirates | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.98 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Pirates | 76c | 1,441$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.29 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 58c | 1,433$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.26 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Braves | 5c | 1,360$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Braves | 17c | 1,159$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Braves | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.95 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Pirates | 41c | 1,069$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Braves | 59c | 1,065$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.35 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 41c | 999.98$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 41c | 975.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.61 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Pirates | 70c | 936.44$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Pirates | 40c | 850$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Pirates | 41c | 800$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 58c | 748.91$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.37 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 43c | 745.35$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Braves | 47c | 736.47$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.14 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…21d0backed Pirates | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 20c | 691.68$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Braves | 3c | 665.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Braves | 10c | 610.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Pirates | 40c | 592$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Pirates | 40c | 548$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Pirates | 41c | 544.8$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.43 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de9…ee25backed Braves | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Braves | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 40c | 495$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.55 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Braves | 3c | 452.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Braves | 16c | 423.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.79 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Braves | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 69c | 368.46$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.24 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Braves | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 22c | 310.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Pirates | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braves | 7c | 298.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Braves | 59c | 297.61$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.59 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Braves | 4c | 265.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Pirates | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Braves | 8c | 217$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pirates | 74c | 208$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Braves | 60c | 200.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 59c | 200.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Braves | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Braves | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Braves | 60c | 163.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Pirates | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Pirates | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Braves | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Braves | 60c | 112.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Pirates | 41c | 112.2$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Pirates | 40c | 108.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Braves | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…de87backed Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…f827backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece2…edfabacked Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…64a5backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2456…3f35backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…1a1ebacked Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Braves | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…2f10backed Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49c…5d4bbacked Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd268…7e80backed Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Pirates | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe673…a0b8backed Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb461…da0cbacked Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde8…030ebacked Braves | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…aa7fbacked Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…7baebacked Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves | 60c | 90.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf878…f59cbacked Braves | 60c | 90$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…4ad6backed Pirates | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…85a1backed Braves | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…081bbacked Braves | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Pirates | 39c | 77.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 41c | 75.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Pirates | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Braves | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…a741backed Pirates | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Pirates | 42c | 61.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4dd3backed Pirates | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe6…5cdabacked Pirates | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Braves | 59c | 56.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861e…dddebacked Pirates | 42c | 54.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pirates vs. Bravesthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.