MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73a01ff6463d247d59ce6ab07af540236148fc303ce6fe707c7ad597f202ae17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,124
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,124 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Phillies | 64c | 45,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,799.98 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Nationals | 36c | 39,570$14,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,324.87 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Nationals | 35c | 15,000$5,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,749.98 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Phillies | 33c | 9,515$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.68 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Phillies | 26c | 8,980$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.88 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Phillies | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,875 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 65c | 7,293$4,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,740.46 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 53c | 6,146$3,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Nationals | 35c | 5,376$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.34 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Nationals | 36c | 5,021$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.39 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 62c | 4,756$2,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.55 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Phillies | 29c | 3,886$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.2 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Phillies | 64c | 3,702$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.28 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…56dfbacked Nationals | 39c | 3,309$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfe…d7b7backed Phillies | 61c | 3,309$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 37c | 3,110$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,961.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 64c | 3,082$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.77 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Phillies | 63c | 2,918$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Nationals | 37c | 2,120$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.73 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 47c | 2,061$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.05 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Phillies | 65c | 1,888$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.95 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…0af8backed Nationals | 36c | 1,635$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 62c | 1,523$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.23 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Nationals | 38c | 1,351$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.62 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nationals | 38c | 1,330$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.61 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Nationals | 36c | 1,283$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Nationals | 57c | 1,270$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.07 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.05 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked Nationals | 39c | 1,081$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Nationals | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nationals | 60c | 980.41$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…910cbacked Phillies | 61c | 979$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…8e12backed Phillies | 61c | 971$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.31 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Nationals | 38c | 899.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Nationals | 38c | 871$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.02 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8c…550fbacked Nationals | 39c | 869$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Nationals | 36c | 850$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Phillies | 48c | 804.83$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 65c | 800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Phillies | 64c | 769.02$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.17 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Nationals | 36c | 750$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Nationals | 37c | 737.12$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nationals | 38c | 680.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.21 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 38c | 582$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.84 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nationals | 36c | 575$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Phillies | 53c | 525.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64bf…c32ebacked Phillies | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Phillies | 65c | 495.38$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Nationals | 36c | 494.44$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Nationals | 37c | 492.6$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.34 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Nationals | 61c | 491.9$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Nationals | 63c | 462.38$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Nationals | 38c | 457.87$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Phillies | 42c | 436.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.33 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nationals | 35c | 422$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Nationals | 38c | 400$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 39c | 399.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e48…0783backed Nationals | 37c | 391.65$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c04cbacked Phillies | 64c | 390.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 37c | 383$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.41 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Nationals | 38c | 312.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Phillies | 65c | 306.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 62c | 302.97$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.84 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nationals | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Nationals | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Nationals | 59c | 292.36$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.23 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Nationals | 36c | 278$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Phillies | 65c | 275.33$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.5 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Nationals | 35c | 263.04$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.97 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Phillies | 61c | 255$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 62c | 250.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 9c | 233.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 61c | 230$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 64c | 228$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Phillies | 15c | 226.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Phillies | 61c | 217.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nationals | 9c | 216.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.97 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 58c | 213.31$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Phillies | 39c | 207.09$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 59c | 202.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Nationals | 37c | 201.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Nationals | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7620…b9eabacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…220bbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Phillies | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf50e…b539backed Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c6…ce67backed Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Nationals | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nationals vs. Philliesthis page
- Nationals vs. Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.