MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88ac41c8cf5bd973a99f42fbc8048d104b0cb2b597ba6a66de2994aefed85f58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $673,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $696,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $673,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mariners | 52c | 466,532$242,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,596.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 48c | 216,162$103,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,404.49 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 48c | 72,650$34,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,778 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Padres | 50c | 41,029$20,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,643.85 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 48c | 24,176$11,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,568.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 48c | 15,443$7,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,030.36 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mariners | 59c | 9,330$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.1 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Padres | 49c | 7,884$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.89 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 23c | 7,791$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.72 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 49c | 6,940$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Padres | 46c | 6,266$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,397.78 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 49c | 6,240$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.4 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 61c | 5,743$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Padres | 49c | 5,321$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,714.58 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 51c | 4,429$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.03 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Mariners | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…6e7abacked Mariners | 53c | 3,957$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.3 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 49c | 3,020$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 71c | 2,781$1,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 51c | 2,650$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.26 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Padres | 28c | 2,629$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.91 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 56c | 2,414$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.37 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 41c | 1,833$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.17 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 31c | 1,401$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Padres | 28c | 1,380$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.29 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 30c | 1,378$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 31c | 1,300$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Padres | 56c | 1,209$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…e2b9backed Padres | 49c | 1,163$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b3…8e12backed Mariners | 51c | 1,157$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Mariners | 51c | 1,143$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Padres | 49c | 1,137$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Padres | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…58b9backed Mariners | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Padres | 65c | 950$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 57c | 857.51$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Padres | 49c | 837.18$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.96 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mariners | 6c | 830.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Mariners | 49c | 826.09$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 49c | 805.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.84 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Padres | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 181 | 55.8%101 W · 80 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners | 10c | 667.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Mariners | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Padres | 48c | 499.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 48c | 472.87$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Padres | 47c | 426.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.08 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 48c | 416$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Mariners | 52c | 403.85$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Padres | 49c | 399.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Mariners | 15c | 379$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 28c | 358.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Padres | 50c | 340.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Mariners | 33c | 339$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.87 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Padres | 52c | 328.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Mariners | 40c | 328.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.57 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 52c | 305$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.31 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 49c | 305$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Padres | 73c | 284.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…7507backed Padres | 79c | 281.17$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mariners | 35c | 256.54$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 44c | 249.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 9c | 231.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Mariners | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mariners | 50c | 225.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Mariners | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Padres | 48c | 209.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.95 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Padres | 48c | 208.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…0558backed Padres | 73c | 206.34$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mariners | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Padres | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Padres | 48c | 199.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Padres | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 25c | 175.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Mariners | 11c | 172.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Mariners | 52c | 169.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Mariners | 10c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb6…516bbacked Padres | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed Padres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 49c | 140.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 65c | 133.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Padres | 80c | 132.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 49c | 132.36$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…d68cbacked Padres | 66c | 128.95$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Marinersthis page
- Padres vs. Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.