MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12ae00966331b43e957f89b853fd28a8a4a49598c5594008e22e93e5f6504dae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Rangers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $110,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Guardians | 58c | 40,000$23,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,800 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Rangers | 42c | 16,666$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.72 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Rangers | 42c | 12,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 42c | 10,566$4,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437.77 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Guardians | 58c | 7,865$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.24 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rangers | 53c | 5,324$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.05 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac90…1882backed Rangers | 43c | 5,012$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.16 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Rangers | 44c | 4,947$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.29 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guardians | 58c | 4,753$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.74 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Guardians | 57c | 3,805$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Guardians | 47c | 3,720$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.6 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 57c | 3,364$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rangers | 42c | 2,600$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Rangers | 47c | 2,094$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.03 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers | 40c | 1,855$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 57c | 1,764$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.7 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Rangers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 58c | 1,441$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.15 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Guardians | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rangers | 44c | 1,195$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.42 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Guardians | 58c | 1,194$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.44 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 43c | 1,175$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Guardians | 56c | 1,095$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.65 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Guardians | 57c | 1,023$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.08 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Rangers | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 43c | 999.98$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.87 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Guardians | 57c | 931$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 44c | 687.52$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.51 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 45c | 670$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rangers | 42c | 638.85$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Rangers | 4c | 630$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 38c | 600$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Rangers | 45c | 568.28$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.44 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 57c | 552.58$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Guardians | 61c | 518.04$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rangers | 40c | 505$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 42c | 499.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 56c | 484.28$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.08 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Rangers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Rangers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Rangers | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 57c | 456.2$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.58 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers | 28c | 452.88$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.67 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Guardians | 65c | 425.77$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 44c | 410.65$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Guardians | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 52c | 399.63$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.82 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 56c | 375.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Guardians | 55c | 363.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Guardians | 58c | 340.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.89 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Rangers | 62c | 309.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Guardians | 57c | 298.06$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 36c | 279.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Guardians | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Rangers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Rangers | 42c | 221.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Rangers | 48c | 208.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 55c | 176.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Guardians | 58c | 172.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.39 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb194…1063backed Guardians | 58c | 171.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Rangers | 55c | 168.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.82 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Guardians | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea8…0877backed Rangers | 53c | 143.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c6…5db4backed Guardians | 58c | 125.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…e8f2backed Rangers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…5364backed Rangers | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64de…25a1backed Rangers | 32c | 118.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…5fb0backed Guardians | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Rangers | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Guardians | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Guardians | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Guardians | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rangers | 37c | 80.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rangers | 42c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Rangers | 25c | 78.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Guardians | 57c | 68.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…e61cbacked Rangers | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Guardians | 54c | 65.97$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.42 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ff…a245backed Guardians | 58c | 65.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Guardians | 49c | 61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6e…c082backed Guardians | 57c | 59.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Guardians | 56c | 58.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…9213backed Rangers | 36c | 55.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Guardians | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Guardians | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Guardians | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Guardians | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Guardians | 66c | 45.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb07…3245backed Guardians | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.