TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

San Jose State vs. Utah State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utah Stateof San Jose State, Utah State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$391,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,398

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $391,996 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked San Jose State34c60,573$20,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,426.4868440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Utah State60c30,865$18,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,345.8632745.6%149 W · 178 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked San Jose State40c30,185$12,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,073.8475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Utah State67c21,898$14,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,266.6285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked San Jose State38c21,563$8,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,276.5537749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Utah State63c17,910$11,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.0615745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah State60c17,176$10,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,841.4581847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked San Jose State40c16,849$6,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,739.615539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked San Jose State22c15,037$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.9162843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed San Jose State1c14,288$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8813149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah State65c9,464$6,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,269.4186243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed San Jose State37c6,336$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.215451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed San Jose State6c5,853$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.044139%16 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Utah State64c3,813$2,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.9910750.5%54 W · 53 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah State63c3,718$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.7855350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Utah State63c3,600$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3326947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Utah State59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed San Jose State45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35011541.7%48 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed San Jose State36c3,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.987126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed San Jose State36c2,237$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Utah State65c2,104$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.415742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Utah State63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.98450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked San Jose State37c1,996$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.4930949.5%153 W · 156 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed San Jose State1c1,840$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah State66c1,770$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.4840541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Utah State63c1,713$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.5450358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed San Jose State39c1,700$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+62.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1ff…1e37backed Utah State64c1,546$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f2…f133backed San Jose State38c1,546$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…9a68backed Utah State62c1,471$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.964100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ad2…e215backed San Jose State38c1,471$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.9630%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3145…50f0backed Utah State64c1,310$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a5…3ec1backed San Jose State38c1,310$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd063…e5b5backed San Jose State38c1,300$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Utah State62c1,293$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.872615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0714…873abacked San Jose State37c1,216$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e85…aa90backed Utah State63c1,216$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked San Jose State36c1,136$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.3749443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa30f…ba19backed Utah State64c1,105$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab77…d834backed San Jose State36c1,105$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Utah State63c1,055$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.644052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked San Jose State24c999.44$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.58333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Utah State61c947.92$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.122,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x730d…6cfabacked Utah State64c900$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3241258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…8d6cbacked San Jose State37c900$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3331127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed San Jose State36c890.46$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.986030%18 W · 42 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked San Jose State5c848.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.781360%0 W · 136 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah State62c832.14$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.0110742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed San Jose State36c829.85$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7419120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Utah State63c780$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.65754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Utah State60c780$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31220450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed San Jose State37c776.47$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2940244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Utah State61c760.73$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.961,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Utah State62c707.46$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4611142.3%47 W · 64 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2913…730ebacked Utah State64c697.35$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…8406backed San Jose State36c696.9$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd547…8a9fbacked Utah State63c676.93$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.931947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked San Jose State37c661.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.8711248.2%54 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6404…05efbacked San Jose State16c605$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.71526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked San Jose State38c598.8$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.543745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed San Jose State53c568.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003948.7%19 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.13per pick35cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07ad…5d81backed Utah State80c549.03$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Utah State63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Utah State63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1853852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked San Jose State37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked San Jose State38c499.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9942244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed San Jose State38c477$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.265141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Utah State57c477$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.1117954.2%97 W · 82 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked San Jose State8c449.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.524229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed Utah State64c409.3$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.35366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked San Jose State29c408.67$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9525819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…5862backed San Jose State27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Utah State59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1235648.2%27 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked San Jose State40c299.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc435…02b5backed Utah State64c296.61$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.961020%2 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Utah State64c287$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3220757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4150…d0ebbacked San Jose State41c285.14$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.53119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3569…008bbacked San Jose State37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd054…11aebacked San Jose State38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick38cpaid+98.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed San Jose State39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked San Jose State36c222.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.938041.3%33 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3ee…373ebacked Utah State59c210.4$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.036861.8%42 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed San Jose State36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked San Jose State37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7417634.7%61 W · 115 L+11.6wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Utah State63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747041.4%29 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed San Jose State36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725729.8%17 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Utah State72c199.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c9b…5722backed San Jose State51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Utah State66c185.04$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7416044.4%71 W · 89 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Utah State51c161.16$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.973250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f77…5ab3backed Utah State64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a2…7886backed Utah State64c154.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb840…9989backed San Jose State37c151.35$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…f395backed San Jose State36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be3…bb12backed San Jose State36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee0c…0a49backed Utah State64c148.44$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+48.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0104…530ebacked Utah State64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.631573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed San Jose State40c138.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554052.5%21 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x279b…04f5backed San Jose State37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed San Jose State26c132.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.