TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Red Sox vs. Yankees

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Soxof Red Sox, Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$488,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,863

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $488,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox44c151,275$66,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,252.2838043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees57c50,000$28,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,30048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Yankees58c44,547$26,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees56c30,000$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,899.9855053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Red Sox42c20,000$8,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,599.9753150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Red Sox44c17,659$7,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,898.7325454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees59c16,557$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.9138751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Yankees57c15,505$8,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,849.121747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox43c15,111$6,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,613.2560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yankees57c14,798$8,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,434.861,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees56c14,627$8,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,191.1235952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox41c13,398$5,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,890.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Red Sox42c12,552$5,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,280.331,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees57c11,465$6,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,548.1863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yankees62c11,439$7,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.0635854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yankees57c10,526$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00019649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox42c9,560$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,576.3645248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees56c7,777$4,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.1230255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Red Sox47c7,564$3,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.972751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Yankees57c5,970$3,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,402.7860451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Sox43c5,554$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.061,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Red Sox48c5,422$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.087455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Yankees40c5,417$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.8154345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees57c5,413$3,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,063.642,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yankees58c5,166$2,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.213953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb31…cd36backed Red Sox43c5,033$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,868.813135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees58c4,582$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,644.911,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox43c4,519$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.199,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees56c4,444$2,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,488.5898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yankees57c4,310$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.725453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed32…20d6backed Yankees60c4,264$2,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,544.036538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Red Sox37c4,215$1,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.4734550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox42c4,009$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3251,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce13…a213backed Yankees57c3,812$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.811855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Red Sox43c3,256$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.6756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yankees39c2,798$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.979740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Red Sox39c2,501$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.4111553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Red Sox43c2,142$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.4443949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Red Sox48c1,964$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023.712060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Yankees58c1,950$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.078944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox51c1,858$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$914.4733845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yankees56c1,820$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.21,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Red Sox43c1,675$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.5411449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox42c1,647$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.3466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Red Sox33c1,616$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.7614052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Red Sox46c1,312$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.4195930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox41c1,242$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.7850843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Red Sox39c1,197$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.891,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Red Sox27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.114146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Yankees56c1,109$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.9523455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.719759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Yankees49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76cc…5e4ebacked Yankees56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Yankees60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009862.2%61 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Red Sox44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yankees57c964.9$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9970946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Red Sox55c861.98$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.5823248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Red Sox39c850$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.527733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox41c822$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.9824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde8c…6307backed Yankees15c816.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205834.5%20 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Red Sox44c792.32$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.629550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…85b2backed Yankees56c788.63$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.637553.3%40 W · 35 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox42c783.85$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.631,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox43c697$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.291,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8263052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Red Sox49c641$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.96,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox41c640.26$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.751,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Red Sox74c600.13$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.614252.4%22 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yankees57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34242452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox34c586.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Red Sox36c573.46$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.5880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox41c549$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Yankees56c547.54$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.6222852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Red Sox43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox41c488.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.1851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Red Sox43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Red Sox49c408.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.9811051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Red Sox45c406.14$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.1413149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Yankees26c400$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8910527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…9481backed Yankees51c388.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yankees57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox66c383.8$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.762,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecba…5fb4backed Yankees53c377.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Yankees37c356.57$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x363d…fe75backed Yankees57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021242.5%90 W · 122 L-13.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yankees57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Red Sox43c337.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.0885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Yankees18c337.47$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7416947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Yankees56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16866751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Yankees35c293.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4621146.4%98 W · 113 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93fc…a0e4backed Red Sox37c291.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.291258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ebe…9c69backed Yankees7c290$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox42c260$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.81,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d49…9601backed Yankees33c259.27$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.091250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd5c…1d65backed Red Sox76c258$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.182166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Red Sox43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.534051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox43c250$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.55341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.