TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$640,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$840,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $640,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 446 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers46c169,941$78,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,169.0238043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Mets55c163,614$89,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73,626.4117652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers45c160,618$72,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,278.141,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Mets54c38,000$20,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,48055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Mets54c27,799$15,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,787.5426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets54c19,029$10,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,776.4635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets54c15,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,899.9734245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Mets53c13,405$7,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,240.547659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Mets54c12,963$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,962.9619649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24c2…10cebacked Mets54c12,474$6,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,737.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Mets55c11,808$6,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,300.31,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Tigers56c9,655$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,438.3311345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Mets54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.419255.4%51 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers46c6,320$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.1334550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Mets46c6,220$2,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,365.1333554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Mets54c4,630$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.632552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets56c4,437$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.99,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Tigers11c4,365$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.4810041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Mets54c4,340$2,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.413065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Tigers41c3,399$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.2333845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mets54c3,279$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.756451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets54c2,917$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.672,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mets54c2,500$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9795850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x259b…45f6backed Mets55c2,355$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets54c2,203$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,013.3863152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mets54c2,031$1,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.341,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92071751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7ca…faa7backed Mets54c1,926$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mets66c1,830$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.6478445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Tigers1c1,741$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.712242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb70…f9d5backed Tigers45c1,667$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Tigers45c1,590$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.519842.9%42 W · 56 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Tigers54c1,586$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.8621747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets54c1,491$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.961,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Tigers14c1,444$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1366645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mets57c1,362$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.962,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x394b…0cecbacked Mets42c1,344$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.151643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers45c1,332$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.8398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers46c1,278$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.881,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Mets54c1,222$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.228852.3%46 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers48c1,200$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57683248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers47c1,200$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Mets50c1,165$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.54030%12 W · 28 L-6.9wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers32c1,066$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.71,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tigers16c1,050$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10e…beedbacked Tigers59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5903046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b18…be5abacked Tigers10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Tigers46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Mets52c866.38$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.3813149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ac…76ffbacked Mets54c796.3$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.36847.1%32 W · 36 L-7.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Tigers48c778.83$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets42c699.52$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.294,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3d…41f3backed Tigers45c688$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mets54c675.93$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.9312248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers47c664.89$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Mets41c598$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.826536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Mets52c576.9$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.9130842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Mets56c548.83$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.1712258.2%71 W · 51 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Tigers45c522.39$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.0814747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Tigers58c416.43$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.536,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets79c402.79$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Mets42c400$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.5417243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf8b5…41b3backed Tigers10c393.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406131.1%19 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Mets54c367.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3485047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab9…4669backed Mets54c361.72$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.391650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870b…2181backed Tigers47c361.7$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1701338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mets55c360.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.7128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets55c330.58$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.761,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Mets54c325.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9911449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Mets53c301.96$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.1630151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mets54c296.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.5973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers47c283$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.016,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1dd…a008backed Tigers45c266.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1888…e1cbbacked Tigers39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets59c245.76$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.761,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed Mets55c227.65$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.4424253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets54c216.67$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.679245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…4768backed Tigers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7fd0…7efcbacked Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e40…4efabacked Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905251.9%27 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…e142backed Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8381…ebcfbacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7620…b9eabacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905742.1%24 W · 33 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ed…78e3backed Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905446.3%25 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ac5…3536backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905060%30 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc94…72debacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0138…cdf1backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb523…0d72backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef2…220bbacked Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2916…bb5bbacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905435.2%19 W · 35 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfffa…f24dbacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf50e…b539backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7c6…ce67backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905545.5%25 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab5…dce6backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…5d65backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905339.6%21 W · 32 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf15e…23e4backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905646.4%26 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31b1…9335backed Tigers45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e6b…122dbacked Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…94d4backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5581…12e8backed Mets55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905046%23 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.