MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x357312a20786fafc7beffc604b7831cdf4ac7833dd06e587a1ea7e37ac533dc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Rays, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,790
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,790 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Guardians | 53c | 21,400$11,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,293.02 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Guardians | 23c | 16,720$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Rays | 66c | 12,433$8,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.36 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rays | 47c | 10,581$4,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.85 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Guardians | 41c | 8,680$3,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.57 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Guardians | 53c | 6,447$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.79 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Guardians | 53c | 6,295$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.35 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rays | 47c | 5,782$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,076.59 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Rays | 48c | 5,006$2,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.18 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Guardians | 52c | 4,742$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.9 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 30c | 3,236$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.07 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Rays | 45c | 2,435$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.02 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 51c | 2,215$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.81 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Rays | 65c | 1,988$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.55 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rays | 44c | 1,932$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.58 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Rays | 43c | 1,875$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 45c | 1,831$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rays | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rays | 73c | 1,686$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.54 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rays | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.92 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Guardians | 1c | 1,382$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Guardians | 57c | 1,261$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.21 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Guardians | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Guardians | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 56c | 988.21$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.4 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Guardians | 53c | 965$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.45 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 57c | 938.33$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Guardians | 55c | 825.44$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Rays | 49c | 765.31$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 53c | 746$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.38 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 44c | 681$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.36 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Rays | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 49c | 612$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.12 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 40c | 446.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 46c | 419.63$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.6 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Rays | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rays | 44c | 366$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 42c | 355.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 49c | 330.91$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Guardians | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Guardians | 37c | 309.07$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.83 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Guardians | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rays | 65c | 298$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.3 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Guardians | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 47c | 278.34$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Guardians | 56c | 270$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Guardians | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Guardians | 50c | 228.21$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Guardians | 54c | 223$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Guardians | 56c | 221.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rays | 47c | 220$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 47c | 212.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Rays | 45c | 209.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Guardians | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c61…a273backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc94…72debacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…620bbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb523…0d72backed Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb340…6b02backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc213…f12bbacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d18…f551backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…ed7bbacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2916…bb5bbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…f24dbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…b5bdbacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…99aabacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a0…a1c0backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e00…c26cbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab5…dce6backed Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be8…7066backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…0439backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…5d65backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ce…215fbacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…050cbacked Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…c18bbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…122dbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…8325backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…2522backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…94d4backed Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…12e8backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…0082backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…f811backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…41babacked Rays | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045f…bfe7backed Rays | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a6babacked Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeee…9989backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0c…9e00backed Guardians | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b1…e717backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Guardiansthis page
- Rays vs. Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Guardians (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.