MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b2579f5c5729d23e89c2ac0e3562dc6178a5b67092b8882ad1740e7b5fb59e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Padres, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $155,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $155,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 60c | 14,420$8,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,771.64 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Mariners | 59c | 11,283$6,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637.28 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Padres | 41c | 9,871$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.1 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 73c | 5,468$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.87 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Mariners | 62c | 5,066$3,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.56 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Padres | 42c | 5,003$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 41c | 4,858$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.65 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Mariners | 58c | 3,730$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 60c | 3,386$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.02 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 59c | 2,901$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.44 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 56c | 2,808$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.76 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 41c | 2,550$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Padres | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 41c | 2,146$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.86 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Padres | 17c | 1,974$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 41c | 1,755$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 58c | 1,753$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.35 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 41c | 1,700$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…118cbacked Padres | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 30c | 1,534$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Padres | 42c | 1,250$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.98 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Padres | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.74 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Padres | 16c | 1,130$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3572…38a9backed Mariners | 56c | 1,070$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fb…1d77backed Padres | 44c | 1,055$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Padres | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…a7e0backed Padres | 44c | 1,045$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Padres | 40c | 1,039$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.96 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Mariners | 56c | 1,030$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Mariners | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ed…82c6backed Padres | 11c | 980$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 56c | 919.76$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.32 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Padres | 12c | 828.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…27d6backed Mariners | 56c | 814$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Padres | 42c | 797$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.74 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Padres | 33c | 793.29$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…2c86backed Mariners | 56c | 786$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Padres | 44c | 774.77$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.9 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Padres | 44c | 681$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.64 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 10c | 677.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…57d4backed Padres | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 54c | 666.24$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.81 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Padres | 45c | 666$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Padres | 7c | 629.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Padres | 43c | 563.75$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.41 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 42c | 553$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 42c | 539.55$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Padres | 12c | 536.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Padres | 43c | 518.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.12 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…9bc4backed Padres | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners | 56c | 499.98$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Padres | 42c | 476.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Padres | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mariners | 59c | 408.08$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mariners | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Mariners | 58c | 367.05$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.17 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Padres | 42c | 349.95$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mariners | 57c | 348.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 59c | 340$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.4 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Padres | 11c | 331.84$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 55c | 326$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3b6bbacked Padres | 41c | 317.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Padres | 15c | 302.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mariners | 59c | 300.43$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.94 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Padres | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 41c | 299.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Mariners | 55c | 299.98$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Padres | 44c | 299.51$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 28c | 269.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Padres | 5c | 254.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mariners | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Padres | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Padres | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Padres | 43c | 232$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Padres | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…66d8backed Padres | 8c | 224.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Padres | 11c | 211.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…e742backed Mariners | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mariners | 58c | 202.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Padres | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Mariners | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4779…211fbacked Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…afbbbacked Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2019…a6a9backed Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3236…8f9ebacked Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…966cbacked Padres | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…729cbacked Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +8.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…8340backed Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…3b86backed Mariners | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb290…27c5backed Padres | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…c850backed Padres | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…cdf1backed Padres | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Padres vs. Marinersthis page
- Padres vs. Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.